Showing posts with label pre-foreclosure. Show all posts
Showing posts with label pre-foreclosure. Show all posts
Wednesday, July 18, 2012
WSJ - tax liens triggering foreclosures
A report released this week by the National Consumer Law Center
(NCLC), says the number of foreclosures tied to delinquent tax
payments is climbing. The NCLC, an advocacy group, estimates that
$15 billion of tax-lien foreclosures happened in 2010, the latest
year for which data are available. Rising tax-lien problems stem
from two overlapping trends associated with the weak economy: To
close budget deficits, some local governments are increasing
proxy taxes to raise additional revenue. But a growing number of
homeowners, many unemployed or living on fixed incomes, are
finding those tax bills—even before rate increases—a strain.
When homeowners fail to pay, municipalities have the legal
authority to foreclose or auction off the tax lien to debt
collectors, who can charge interest rates as high as 50% on the
outstanding balances. If the homeowner doesn't pay—the
deadlines to do so vary across the nation—many states allow the
tax-lien holders to take ownership of the properties and resell
them.
While the sales are causing distress for some homeowners, they
reflect hard fiscal realities at the state and municipal level.
"Cities and towns are facing their own budget problems and of
course need homeowners to make prompt tax payments," says John
Rao, an NCLC attorney who wrote the report. Homeowners are
slipping on tax payments for the same reasons they are falling
behind on mortgage payments, Mr. Rao said: "They're unemployed,
or underemployed, expenses have gone up, and you don't have
enough money." Advocates for the elderly and the unemployed, the
groups most at risk of losing their homes, say it isn't uncommon
for consumers with homes valued at hundreds of thousands of
dollars to lose the properties after failing to pay a few
thousand dollars in taxes. "The system is really
counterintuitive," said Laura Newland, an attorney with AARP, an
advocacy group for people age 50 and older. "Some of the
properties that are most vulnerable are the ones without a
mortgage." (Local taxes on homes with a mortgage are often paid
by the mortgage lender, which collects taxes from homeowners in
their monthly payments.) Frank Alexander, a professor who
specializes in tax-law foreclosures at Emory University's law
school, said municipal governments selling tax liens are being
shortsighted. "It creates short-term cash, but generates
long-term problems," he said, pointing out that tax-lien sales
and tax foreclosures often spark legal challenges that can last
for years and prove costly for homeowners and municipal
governments.
Monday, October 31, 2011
A summer of modest economic growth is helping dispel lingering fears that another recession might be near. Whether the strength can be sustained is less certain. The economy grew at an annual rate of 2.5% in the July-September quarter, the Commerce Department said Thursday. But the growth was fueled by Americans who spent more while earning less and by businesses that invested in machines and computers, not workers. The expansion, the best quarterly growth in a year, came as a relief after anemic growth in the first half of the year, weeks of wild stock market shifts and the weakest consumer confidence since the height of the Great Recession. The economy would have to grow at nearly double the third-quarter pace to make a dent in the unemployment rate, which has stayed near 9% since the recession officially ended more than two years ago. For the more than 14 million Americans who are out of work and want a job, that's discouraging news. And for President Barack Obama and incumbent members of Congress, it means they'll be facing voters with unemployment near 9%. "It is still a very weak economy out there," said David Wyss, former chief economist at Standard & Poor's. For now, the report on US gross domestic product, or GDP, sketched a more optimistic picture for an economy that only two months ago seemed at risk of another recession.
Some economists doubt the economy can maintain its modest third-quarter pace. US lawmakers are debating deep cuts in federal spending next year that would drag on growth. And state and local governments have been slashing budgets for more than a year. Obama's $447 billion jobs plan was blocked by Republicans, meaning that a Social Security tax cut that put an extra $1,000 to $2,000 this year in most American's pockets could expire in January. So could extended unemployment benefits. They have been a key source of income for many people out of work for more than six months. Nor is the economy likely to get a lift from the depressed housing market. Typically, home construction drives growth during an economic recovery. But builders have been contributing much less to the economy this time. Wyss said that the collapse of housing had probably depressed annual growth by as much as 1.5 percentage points in the past two years. Paul Ashworth, chief US economist for Capital Economics, predicts that growth will cool in the fourth quarter and next year. "While our baseline forecast does not include an outright contraction, we expect GDP growth to average a very lackluster 1.5% next year," Ashworth said in a note to clients.
Some economists doubt the economy can maintain its modest third-quarter pace. US lawmakers are debating deep cuts in federal spending next year that would drag on growth. And state and local governments have been slashing budgets for more than a year. Obama's $447 billion jobs plan was blocked by Republicans, meaning that a Social Security tax cut that put an extra $1,000 to $2,000 this year in most American's pockets could expire in January. So could extended unemployment benefits. They have been a key source of income for many people out of work for more than six months. Nor is the economy likely to get a lift from the depressed housing market. Typically, home construction drives growth during an economic recovery. But builders have been contributing much less to the economy this time. Wyss said that the collapse of housing had probably depressed annual growth by as much as 1.5 percentage points in the past two years. Paul Ashworth, chief US economist for Capital Economics, predicts that growth will cool in the fourth quarter and next year. "While our baseline forecast does not include an outright contraction, we expect GDP growth to average a very lackluster 1.5% next year," Ashworth said in a note to clients.
Friday, October 7, 2011
Surprise! Dodd Frank cost passed on to consumers
Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan defended the bank's decision to impose a $5 debit card fee on customers next year, saying it was needed, in part, to recoup billions of dollars in costs from complying with Dodd-Frank law. "I have an inherent duty as a CEO of a publicly held company to get a return for my shareholders," he said at the Aspen Institute in Washington. "At the same time, I have an inherent duty to do a great job for my customers." He wouldn't say if other Bank of America fees would be raised. He said the bank — the nation's largest mortgage lender through its purchase of Countrywide Financial — is trying to work through the backlog of its mortgage foreclosures and "find a resolution" with the state attorneys general suing Bank of America and other banks over their mortgage practices.
Wednesday, September 14, 2011
friction in Obama's refi proposal
"The response to President Obama's recent proposal to refinance more borrowers into lower interest rate mortgages was at best underwhelming and at worst scathing. The plan would expand the government's so-far disappointing, Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP), which helps current but underwater borrowers with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans to refinance. 'Mr. President, the housing market is the foundation of the US economy. It is cracked and chipping away,' writes Florida real estate consultant Jack McCabe in an editorial in the Herald-Tribune. 'The walls are beginning to cave. Your answer, anecdotally, seems to be put a new roof on it.' McCabe is calling for principal write-down for troubled mortgages, not refinances for borrowers who are current on their monthly payments. The argument so far against principal write-down is that it would cost banks and investors (including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) too much.
Unfortunately the plan, which could allow borrowers with more than 25% in negative equity to refinance, is being deemed too costly as well. While the Congressional Budget Office estimated it would cost investors in the original mortgages between $13
and $15 billion (while potentially saving 111,000 borrowers from defaulting), analysts at JP Morgan Chase say it would cost more: If such a policy were successful on a large scale, it would clearly devalue higher coupons, and would threaten lower coupons
with incremental gross supply. A more modest HARP overhaul, while less disruptive, still forces investors to require more conservative valuations until details emerge.
All these arguments, however, may be moot, as the overseer of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which would have to approve the refinance effort, is sounding wildly cautious. In a statement following the President's speech, Director Ed DeMarco states, 'If there are frictions associated with the origination of HARP loans that can be eased while still achieving the program's intent of assisting borrowers and reducing credit risk for the Enterprises, we will seek to do so.' He goes on to say, however, that there are 'several challenging issues to work through,' and then he uses the word 'uncertain' twice in characterizing any outcome. While DeMarco doesn't detail said 'frictions,' they are vast and not limited to investor cost. First of all, too many borrowers probably still wouldn't qualify if they just did away with the loan to value ratio of 125%. Of the 838,400 HARP refinancings done so far, only 62,432 had LTVs above 105%, according to Jaret Seiberg at MF Global. 'We believe lenders are reluctant to HARP a loan if they fear the borrower is so underwater that they might default anyway,' writes Seiberg. Then there are issues of loan origination dates, put-backs on loans that default and borrower qualifications. Frictions. Beyond the friction, however, is the simple fact that a refinance program, while potentially an economic stimulus, is not a housing stimulus and shouldn't be characterized as such. The HARP program is and always was for current borrowers and does nothing to address the millions of non-current borrowers, bank-owned foreclosed homes and falling home prices."
Unfortunately the plan, which could allow borrowers with more than 25% in negative equity to refinance, is being deemed too costly as well. While the Congressional Budget Office estimated it would cost investors in the original mortgages between $13
and $15 billion (while potentially saving 111,000 borrowers from defaulting), analysts at JP Morgan Chase say it would cost more: If such a policy were successful on a large scale, it would clearly devalue higher coupons, and would threaten lower coupons
with incremental gross supply. A more modest HARP overhaul, while less disruptive, still forces investors to require more conservative valuations until details emerge.
All these arguments, however, may be moot, as the overseer of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which would have to approve the refinance effort, is sounding wildly cautious. In a statement following the President's speech, Director Ed DeMarco states, 'If there are frictions associated with the origination of HARP loans that can be eased while still achieving the program's intent of assisting borrowers and reducing credit risk for the Enterprises, we will seek to do so.' He goes on to say, however, that there are 'several challenging issues to work through,' and then he uses the word 'uncertain' twice in characterizing any outcome. While DeMarco doesn't detail said 'frictions,' they are vast and not limited to investor cost. First of all, too many borrowers probably still wouldn't qualify if they just did away with the loan to value ratio of 125%. Of the 838,400 HARP refinancings done so far, only 62,432 had LTVs above 105%, according to Jaret Seiberg at MF Global. 'We believe lenders are reluctant to HARP a loan if they fear the borrower is so underwater that they might default anyway,' writes Seiberg. Then there are issues of loan origination dates, put-backs on loans that default and borrower qualifications. Frictions. Beyond the friction, however, is the simple fact that a refinance program, while potentially an economic stimulus, is not a housing stimulus and shouldn't be characterized as such. The HARP program is and always was for current borrowers and does nothing to address the millions of non-current borrowers, bank-owned foreclosed homes and falling home prices."
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Shadow inventory improves but still threatens housing recovery
Despite all those millions of distressed properties out on sale, depressing home prices even further, there is one glimmer of hope according Standard & Poor. According to the report the time it would take for banks to purge all of this so-called "shadow inventory" from the market (through foreclosure sales, mortgage modifications and other measures) shrunk to 47 months during the second quarter, a significant drop from the 52 months it estimated for the first quarter of this year. The report also found that the total dollar value of the loans on these properties -- known as non-agency loans because they are not backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or the Federal Housing Administration -- also fell to $405 billion at the end of June from $433 billion three months earlier. S&P said the decline was helped by stabilizing liquidation rates and by fewer borrowers falling behind on their mortgage payments as the economy slowly recovered during the quarter.
S&P estimates that there are still a total of between 4 million and 5 million homes, including those with agency-backed loans, in shadow inventory, an amount that continues to jeopardize the housing market's recovery. Nevertheless, Fannie and Freddie are looking to rid themselves of a large percentage the shadow inventory they do have -- and quickly. Earlier this month, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), the Treasury Department and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development were seeking suggestions on how to dispose all the repossessed homes now owned by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration in a way that would benefit local communities.
Despite all those millions of distressed properties out on sale, depressing home prices even further, there is one glimmer of hope according Standard & Poor. According to the report the time it would take for banks to purge all of this so-called "shadow inventory" from the market (through foreclosure sales, mortgage modifications and other measures) shrunk to 47 months during the second quarter, a significant drop from the 52 months it estimated for the first quarter of this year. The report also found that the total dollar value of the loans on these properties -- known as non-agency loans because they are not backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or the Federal Housing Administration -- also fell to $405 billion at the end of June from $433 billion three months earlier. S&P said the decline was helped by stabilizing liquidation rates and by fewer borrowers falling behind on their mortgage payments as the economy slowly recovered during the quarter.
S&P estimates that there are still a total of between 4 million and 5 million homes, including those with agency-backed loans, in shadow inventory, an amount that continues to jeopardize the housing market's recovery. Nevertheless, Fannie and Freddie are looking to rid themselves of a large percentage the shadow inventory they do have -- and quickly. Earlier this month, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), the Treasury Department and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development were seeking suggestions on how to dispose all the repossessed homes now owned by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration in a way that would benefit local communities.
Monday, August 15, 2011
BEREL Sunday International Investing Edition: Wells Fargo Turns to Ireland for Loan Portfolios
In a $1.4 billion deal, Wells Fargo has won the Bank of Ireland’s U.S. commercial-real-estate loan portfolio as the Irish bank attempts to deleverage its assets. The portfolio consists of 25 loans sold at close to face value and backed primarily by properties in New York, Boston and Washington[1]. The Bank of Ireland was ordered by Ireland’s financial regulator to deleverage by cutting the lender’s loan portfolio by $43 billion by the end of 2013. Wells Fargo also purchased an additional $1 billion in loans from Allied Irish Banks earlier this year and is now taking aim at a $9.5 billion portfolio of loans in the offing from the Anglo Irish Bank Corporation. The latter includes commercial “trophy properties” in New York City and Chicago.
JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America are also after the Anglo Irish Bank portfolio and have submitted bids on it[2]. Most of the loans are expected to perform through maturity. The sale will also be the first of its kind, since “this is the first foreign bank to sell its entire U.S. loan portfolio, and it will be good test of the market,” said head of global real estate practice at law firm Greenberg Traurig, Robert Ivanhoe.
Do you think it’s a good thing that American lenders are buying back American loans, or should they be doing other things with these billions of dollars?
Tuesday, August 9, 2011
Mortgage markets in the U.S., which remain on government life support, could be rattled by the downgrade of the U.S. credit rating, potentially raising borrowing costs for consumers. Given the "sufficiently perilous" state of the U.S. mortgage market, a downgrade "can do nothing but harm the market," says Karen Shaw Petrou, managing partner of Federal Financial Analytics, a research firm in Washington. "The question is how much?" To be sure, no one knows for certain the impact of the unprecedented downgrade on the mortgage market, even if that market is fundamentally intertwined with the federal government.
One concern is that downgrades may trigger forced selling by mutual funds or foreign investors to comply with investor-specific capital requirements restricting them to assets rated triple-A. But analysts said that most institutional investors' rules for investing in government-backed mortgage debt aren't contingent on ratings. And with investors seeking traditional safe-haven assets such as Treasury and government-backed mortgage securities, "there just doesn't seem to be much else to invest in," says Andrew Davidson, a mortgage-industry consultant in New York. "What would people put
their money in if they sold their agency mortgages? It's hard to see what the trade is."
Mortgage rates are closely tied to yields on the 10-year Treasury note. Rising demand for Treasurys pushed down yields over the past two weeks, even as the threat of a U.S. default from the debt-ceiling debate in Washington dragged on, because investors looked for less risky assets amid concerns over the European debt crisis and the sluggish U.S. economy. Mortgage rates dropped to an eight-month low last week, with 30-year fixed-rate mortgages averaging 4.39% for the week ended Thursday, according to a survey by Freddie Mac. Still, the uncertainty created by the downgrade has nvestors on edge. The interplay of a downgrade, on top of the euro-zone crisis and renewed fears over a double-dip recession in the U.S., could lead to increased volatility in mortgage markets. "There are so many moving parts to this that no one really knows how it will go," says Mr.Simon.
Wednesday, July 6, 2011
Wells Fargo modification outnumber Obama's 5 to 1
Wells Fargo completed or started trials on roughly 585,000 mortgage modifications through its private programs since the beginning of 2009, more than five times the 101,000 initiated through the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). HAMP launched in March 2009 but almost immediately drew criticism. Treasury officials admit the more than 3 million modifications initially promised was over estimated. Through May, servicers started roughly 731,000 permanent loan modifications and have been averaging between 25,000 and 30,000 per month this year. According to a recent poll of housing counselors, only 9% of borrowers who entered the program described it as a "positive" experience. Homeowners continually blame servicers for mishandling documentation. Overwhelmed servicers point out many borrowers are simply out of reach. "Avoiding foreclosure is a top priority for us and when customers work with us, we can help seven of every 10 to stay out of foreclosure," said Teri Schrettenbrunner, senior vice president, Wells Fargo Home Mortgage.
The Treasury points out most of the private programs built since the foreclosure crisis use HAMP as a model. But since mishandled foreclosure and modification processes came to light late last year, new standards were put in place, including a single point of contact that servicers are required to provide throughout the loss-mitigation process. The Treasury began to clamp down on poorly performing servicers — at least to the extent their contracts with these firms allow. In June, the Treasury announced it was withholding HAMP payments from Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Wells. Schrettenbrunner said the bank continues to build on its primary contact model it established last summer, and the bank has met with 58,000 borrowers at 31 home preservation workshops. Half of those received a decision on the spot or shortly after the event. Schrettenbrunner said the department continues to "aggressively reach out" to borrowers behind on payments to bridge the communication gap as quickly as possible. "We also continue to aggressively reach out to customers 60 or more days behind on their home loans via mail and telephone in an effort to engage them," Schrettenbrunner said.
Wells Fargo completed or started trials on roughly 585,000 mortgage modifications through its private programs since the beginning of 2009, more than five times the 101,000 initiated through the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). HAMP launched in March 2009 but almost immediately drew criticism. Treasury officials admit the more than 3 million modifications initially promised was over estimated. Through May, servicers started roughly 731,000 permanent loan modifications and have been averaging between 25,000 and 30,000 per month this year. According to a recent poll of housing counselors, only 9% of borrowers who entered the program described it as a "positive" experience. Homeowners continually blame servicers for mishandling documentation. Overwhelmed servicers point out many borrowers are simply out of reach. "Avoiding foreclosure is a top priority for us and when customers work with us, we can help seven of every 10 to stay out of foreclosure," said Teri Schrettenbrunner, senior vice president, Wells Fargo Home Mortgage.
The Treasury points out most of the private programs built since the foreclosure crisis use HAMP as a model. But since mishandled foreclosure and modification processes came to light late last year, new standards were put in place, including a single point of contact that servicers are required to provide throughout the loss-mitigation process. The Treasury began to clamp down on poorly performing servicers — at least to the extent their contracts with these firms allow. In June, the Treasury announced it was withholding HAMP payments from Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Wells. Schrettenbrunner said the bank continues to build on its primary contact model it established last summer, and the bank has met with 58,000 borrowers at 31 home preservation workshops. Half of those received a decision on the spot or shortly after the event. Schrettenbrunner said the department continues to "aggressively reach out" to borrowers behind on payments to bridge the communication gap as quickly as possible. "We also continue to aggressively reach out to customers 60 or more days behind on their home loans via mail and telephone in an effort to engage them," Schrettenbrunner said.
Wednesday, June 29, 2011
Home prices up
According to the S&P/Case Shiller 20-city index, prices rose 0.7% in April compared with March, although they fell 0.1% when adjusted for the strong spring selling season. Prices were down 4% year-over-year. "In a welcome shift from recent months, this month is better than last -- April's numbers beat March," said David Blitzer, S&P's spokesman, in a statement. "However, the seasonally adjusted numbers show that much of the improvement reflects the beginning of the spring-summer home buying season. It is much too early to tell if this is a turning point or simply due to some warmer weather," Blitzer added. Any hint of good news in the troubled housing market will likely bring cheer to the industry, and there are some signs that market conditions are not quite as dire as some of the statistics may indicate.
Much of the price drop over the past year can be blamed on severe price slashing for homes in foreclosure, as Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke pointed out in a press conference last Wednesday. Prices for homes sold by regular sellers have held up much better. Metropolitan Washington continued to be the strongest of the 20 cities covered by the report. Prices rose 3% in April there and have been on the plus side year-over-year, up 4%. The worst performing market for the month was Detroit, where prices fell 2.9%. The biggest year-over-year drop was recorded by Minneapolis, where prices have plunged 11.1% since last April.
According to the S&P/Case Shiller 20-city index, prices rose 0.7% in April compared with March, although they fell 0.1% when adjusted for the strong spring selling season. Prices were down 4% year-over-year. "In a welcome shift from recent months, this month is better than last -- April's numbers beat March," said David Blitzer, S&P's spokesman, in a statement. "However, the seasonally adjusted numbers show that much of the improvement reflects the beginning of the spring-summer home buying season. It is much too early to tell if this is a turning point or simply due to some warmer weather," Blitzer added. Any hint of good news in the troubled housing market will likely bring cheer to the industry, and there are some signs that market conditions are not quite as dire as some of the statistics may indicate.
Much of the price drop over the past year can be blamed on severe price slashing for homes in foreclosure, as Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke pointed out in a press conference last Wednesday. Prices for homes sold by regular sellers have held up much better. Metropolitan Washington continued to be the strongest of the 20 cities covered by the report. Prices rose 3% in April there and have been on the plus side year-over-year, up 4%. The worst performing market for the month was Detroit, where prices fell 2.9%. The biggest year-over-year drop was recorded by Minneapolis, where prices have plunged 11.1% since last April.
Tuesday, June 21, 2011
Lenders make short sales even more attractive
CitiMortgage, the mortgage servicing arm of Citigroup is paying borrowers an average $12,000 after completing a short sale this year. Justin Rand, the senior vice president of loss mitigation at the bank, said servicers are putting more of an emphasis on streamlining the process and pursuing a short sale ahead of foreclosure. The short sale process in 2009 took an average 120 days from listing to close. But by reaching out to borrowers instead of waiting for them to ask the bank, short sales now take an average 83 days to complete, Rand said at a panel for the REO Expo Conference in Fort Worth, Texas, earlier this week. "For Citi-held portfolio loans today, we have a little over 16% of delinquent loans in a short sale program," Rand said, adding that increased from roughly 4% two years ago.
Not only are the timelines shrinking to complete these deals, but the incentives paid to qualifying borrowers – again only on loans owned by Citi – increased in recent years as well. In early 2009, Citi offered an average $1,500 to qualifying borrowers. That went up to between $3,000 and $5,000 in 2010 and finally up to an average $12,000 so far in 2011, Rand said. "Incentives will be offered to customers experiencing financial hardship who need funds to proceed with the short sale," a Citi spokesman said. "The amount, which is agreed upon up front, varies according to the borrower's individual circumstances and loan characteristics. It is disbursed to the homeowner when the sale is completed."
The key to a successful short sale, just like modifications, is the timely collection of financial documents. Regulators helped move the process along with guideline changes to programs like the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives initiative, which lessened the amount of documents required. "It took us about 30 days to collect documentation in 2009 to now less than 10 days," Rand said. "A lot of the time, for seriously delinquent loans, all we need is just a letter of authorization from the homeowner." David Sunlin, the operations executive for short sales at Bank of America (BOA) was on the same panel as Rand. He said the entire industry is becoming more proactive. BOA completed more short sales than REO every month for the last year and a half. The short sale department at BOA grew from 150 people to now over 3,000. Each employee handles roughly 75 cases. "We're past the point where we're bumbling around losing files," Sunlin said.
Rand said the big shift began in 2009 as the Treasury Department was putting together plans for the HAFA, which would launch in April 2010. "In 2009, we started a proactive approach, reaching through MLS services and reaching out to real estate agents and customers with underwater mortgages, distressed loans," Rand said. "We're not going to turn anybody away if the short sale meets the net requirement we're looking for."
Not only are the timelines shrinking to complete these deals, but the incentives paid to qualifying borrowers – again only on loans owned by Citi – increased in recent years as well. In early 2009, Citi offered an average $1,500 to qualifying borrowers. That went up to between $3,000 and $5,000 in 2010 and finally up to an average $12,000 so far in 2011, Rand said. "Incentives will be offered to customers experiencing financial hardship who need funds to proceed with the short sale," a Citi spokesman said. "The amount, which is agreed upon up front, varies according to the borrower's individual circumstances and loan characteristics. It is disbursed to the homeowner when the sale is completed."
The key to a successful short sale, just like modifications, is the timely collection of financial documents. Regulators helped move the process along with guideline changes to programs like the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives initiative, which lessened the amount of documents required. "It took us about 30 days to collect documentation in 2009 to now less than 10 days," Rand said. "A lot of the time, for seriously delinquent loans, all we need is just a letter of authorization from the homeowner." David Sunlin, the operations executive for short sales at Bank of America (BOA) was on the same panel as Rand. He said the entire industry is becoming more proactive. BOA completed more short sales than REO every month for the last year and a half. The short sale department at BOA grew from 150 people to now over 3,000. Each employee handles roughly 75 cases. "We're past the point where we're bumbling around losing files," Sunlin said.
Rand said the big shift began in 2009 as the Treasury Department was putting together plans for the HAFA, which would launch in April 2010. "In 2009, we started a proactive approach, reaching through MLS services and reaching out to real estate agents and customers with underwater mortgages, distressed loans," Rand said. "We're not going to turn anybody away if the short sale meets the net requirement we're looking for."
Tuesday, June 14, 2011
Fannie Freddie are better, but still cash drains
Conservatorship has been good for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, but
the companies continue to drain federal resources away from other
government operations, according to the regulator of the mortgage
giants. In its third annual letter to Congress, the Federal
Housing Finance Agency (FHFA ) said stronger loan underwriting
standards enabled the companies to narrow losses in 2010 to $28
billion from $93.6 billion a year earlier. The companies have
received more than $160 billion funding from the Treasury
Department the past few years. "Since being placed under
conservatorship in 2008, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac remain
critical supervisory concerns," said Edward DeMarco, acting
director of the FHFA. This is a "result of continuing credit
losses in 2010 from loans originated during 2005 through 2007 as
well as forecasted losses from loans originated during that
time." Still, DeMarco said governmental control allowed the
companies to "accomplish their statutory mission of facilitating
stability and liquidity for single-family and multifamily housing
finance."
The FHFA said Fannie and Freddie remain plagued by "credit risk,
operational risk, modeling risks and retention of qualified
leadership and personnel." The companies hold a 60% share of
single-family loan production. As conservator, the FHFA is
tasked with minimizing credit losses at the GSEs, and DeMarco
said more stringent underwriting standards and a stronger price
structure have helped. "Although past business decisions leading
to these losses cannot be undone, each enterprise, under the
oversight and guidance of FHFA as conservator and regulator, has
improved underwriting standards for loan purchases in the past
two years.," he said. "Another way FHFA minimized losses was to
require the enterprises to enforce existing contractual
representation and warranty loan repurchase agreements with
lenders." The FHFA also oversees the dozen Federal Home Loan
Banks and said all 12 reported profits in 2010. Loans to the
banks dropped to $479 billion last year from $631 billion at the
end 2009. The regulator said the banks' financial condition and
performance stabilized in 2010, but several continue "to be
negatively affected by their exposure to private-label
mortgage-backed securities."
the companies continue to drain federal resources away from other
government operations, according to the regulator of the mortgage
giants. In its third annual letter to Congress, the Federal
Housing Finance Agency (FHFA ) said stronger loan underwriting
standards enabled the companies to narrow losses in 2010 to $28
billion from $93.6 billion a year earlier. The companies have
received more than $160 billion funding from the Treasury
Department the past few years. "Since being placed under
conservatorship in 2008, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac remain
critical supervisory concerns," said Edward DeMarco, acting
director of the FHFA. This is a "result of continuing credit
losses in 2010 from loans originated during 2005 through 2007 as
well as forecasted losses from loans originated during that
time." Still, DeMarco said governmental control allowed the
companies to "accomplish their statutory mission of facilitating
stability and liquidity for single-family and multifamily housing
finance."
The FHFA said Fannie and Freddie remain plagued by "credit risk,
operational risk, modeling risks and retention of qualified
leadership and personnel." The companies hold a 60% share of
single-family loan production. As conservator, the FHFA is
tasked with minimizing credit losses at the GSEs, and DeMarco
said more stringent underwriting standards and a stronger price
structure have helped. "Although past business decisions leading
to these losses cannot be undone, each enterprise, under the
oversight and guidance of FHFA as conservator and regulator, has
improved underwriting standards for loan purchases in the past
two years.," he said. "Another way FHFA minimized losses was to
require the enterprises to enforce existing contractual
representation and warranty loan repurchase agreements with
lenders." The FHFA also oversees the dozen Federal Home Loan
Banks and said all 12 reported profits in 2010. Loans to the
banks dropped to $479 billion last year from $631 billion at the
end 2009. The regulator said the banks' financial condition and
performance stabilized in 2010, but several continue "to be
negatively affected by their exposure to private-label
mortgage-backed securities."
Tuesday, May 31, 2011
why should we care about foreclosures?
"Earlier this week, when we got the report of a bump up in sales
of newly constructed homes, I cautioned that the home builders
are still facing huge competition from distressed properties
(foreclosures and short sales). Today we have some new numbers
showing just how big and how widespread that competition is.
Foreclosed properties made up 28% of all home sales nationwide in
the first quarter of this year, according to RealtyTrac. That's
up slightly from Q4 of 2010, but not the record 29% we saw a year
ago. More than 107,000 bank-owned (REO) properties sold, which is
actually a drop from the previous quarter and a bigger drop (36%)
from a year ago. Foreclosed properties sold at a 35% discount to
their non-distressed counterparts.
So here we have fewer selling but making up a larger share of
total sales. That's not particularly healthy. We need to get more
of these properties sold, because as I showed you on the blog
Tuesday, there are hundreds of thousands of them and millions
more in the potential pipeline. This is not exactly news, but
every time I report it I get the argument back here on the blog
that these distressed sales are only happening in certain states
and don't affect the overall housing market. There is some truth
to that, at least the first part. I asked RealtyTrac to pull some
other numbers for me to show what I'm talking about. More than
three quarters of all distressed sales (78%) were in just ten
states. You can see the usual suspects, California, Florida,
Arizona, Nevada and much of the Mid-West. That's a problem for
the builders because so much of their most recent inventory is in
those states. But what about the rest of us? It begs two
questions: 1) If I don't live in these states, why should I care?
2) If the worst is only in a few states, then why are home prices
falling nationwide?
Here's RealtyTrac's Rick Sharga's explanation: 'The 10 states
include several of the states with the highest number of overall
home sales; driving prices down in California and Florida has
much more impact on national averages than fluctuating home
prices in Alaska and Wyoming. It's not all about geography.
While foreclosure sales obviously depress the price of homes
nearby, they also affect prices by limiting new home sales, which
typically help drive home prices up. But foreclosure sales are
only one of the factors behind falling home prices. Weak demand
is probably the biggest driver.'
And I contend that weak demand is driven by several factors, not
the least of which are credit and confidence. The banks are
looking at their overall book of business and the losses they're
still taking; the losses are concentrated in those states that
are continuing to suffer the most. Regardless, they spread that
pain nationwide in their lending standards, tightening up to the
point that many borrowers far far away from California can't get
a loan. Confidence, or lack thereof, is a bigger factor than we
often give it credit. Yes, the big bad media report all these
numbers, and yes, some of the worst of it is nowhere near where
you live, but you see and process it. It affects your confidence
and consequently how you act.
Housing demand is nowhere near where it should be, and the mix of
what is selling is all on the low end. Investors with cash and
first time home buyers are bargain hunting, and that pushes the
price average/median down in every market. As prices fall on real
sales, thousands of borrowers fall underwater on paper...on their
mortgages, and that puts them at higher risk of foreclosure.
'Residential home sales fell by 18% in Q1 2011 compared to Q4
2010 and by almost 32% from Q1 2010,' notes Sharga. Foreclosures
and distressed sales, even if they're not in your back yard or in
your state, affect your home's value because they affect the
overall demand for your home."
of newly constructed homes, I cautioned that the home builders
are still facing huge competition from distressed properties
(foreclosures and short sales). Today we have some new numbers
showing just how big and how widespread that competition is.
Foreclosed properties made up 28% of all home sales nationwide in
the first quarter of this year, according to RealtyTrac. That's
up slightly from Q4 of 2010, but not the record 29% we saw a year
ago. More than 107,000 bank-owned (REO) properties sold, which is
actually a drop from the previous quarter and a bigger drop (36%)
from a year ago. Foreclosed properties sold at a 35% discount to
their non-distressed counterparts.
So here we have fewer selling but making up a larger share of
total sales. That's not particularly healthy. We need to get more
of these properties sold, because as I showed you on the blog
Tuesday, there are hundreds of thousands of them and millions
more in the potential pipeline. This is not exactly news, but
every time I report it I get the argument back here on the blog
that these distressed sales are only happening in certain states
and don't affect the overall housing market. There is some truth
to that, at least the first part. I asked RealtyTrac to pull some
other numbers for me to show what I'm talking about. More than
three quarters of all distressed sales (78%) were in just ten
states. You can see the usual suspects, California, Florida,
Arizona, Nevada and much of the Mid-West. That's a problem for
the builders because so much of their most recent inventory is in
those states. But what about the rest of us? It begs two
questions: 1) If I don't live in these states, why should I care?
2) If the worst is only in a few states, then why are home prices
falling nationwide?
Here's RealtyTrac's Rick Sharga's explanation: 'The 10 states
include several of the states with the highest number of overall
home sales; driving prices down in California and Florida has
much more impact on national averages than fluctuating home
prices in Alaska and Wyoming. It's not all about geography.
While foreclosure sales obviously depress the price of homes
nearby, they also affect prices by limiting new home sales, which
typically help drive home prices up. But foreclosure sales are
only one of the factors behind falling home prices. Weak demand
is probably the biggest driver.'
And I contend that weak demand is driven by several factors, not
the least of which are credit and confidence. The banks are
looking at their overall book of business and the losses they're
still taking; the losses are concentrated in those states that
are continuing to suffer the most. Regardless, they spread that
pain nationwide in their lending standards, tightening up to the
point that many borrowers far far away from California can't get
a loan. Confidence, or lack thereof, is a bigger factor than we
often give it credit. Yes, the big bad media report all these
numbers, and yes, some of the worst of it is nowhere near where
you live, but you see and process it. It affects your confidence
and consequently how you act.
Housing demand is nowhere near where it should be, and the mix of
what is selling is all on the low end. Investors with cash and
first time home buyers are bargain hunting, and that pushes the
price average/median down in every market. As prices fall on real
sales, thousands of borrowers fall underwater on paper...on their
mortgages, and that puts them at higher risk of foreclosure.
'Residential home sales fell by 18% in Q1 2011 compared to Q4
2010 and by almost 32% from Q1 2010,' notes Sharga. Foreclosures
and distressed sales, even if they're not in your back yard or in
your state, affect your home's value because they affect the
overall demand for your home."
Friday, February 25, 2011
Existing homes sales up
Existing homes increased 2.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.36 million in January from a downwardly revised 5.22 million in December, and are 5.3 percent above the 5.09 million level in January 2010. This is the first time in seven months that sales activity was higher than a year earlier. A parallel NAR practitioner survey2 shows first-time buyers purchased 29 percent of homes in January, down from 33 percent in December and 40 percent in January 2010 when an extended tax credit was in place. Investors accounted for 23 percent of purchases in January, up from 20 percent in December and 17 percent in January 2010; the balance of sales were to repeat buyers. All-cash sales rose to 32 percent in January from 29 percent in December and 26 percent in January 2010. All-cash purchases are at the highest level since NAR started measuring these purchases monthly in October 2008, when they accounted for 15 percent of the market. The average of all-cash deals was
20 percent in 2009, rising to 28 percent last year.
The national median existing-home price3 for all housing types was $158,800 in January, down 3.7 percent from January 2010. Distressed homes edged up to a 37 percent market share in January from 36 percent in December; it was 38 percent in January 2010. Total housing inventory at the end of January fell 5.1 percent to 3.38 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 7.6-month supply4 at the current sales pace, down from an 8.2-month supply in December. The inventory supply is at the lowest level since December 2009 when there was a 7.3-month supply. Single-family home sales rose 2.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.69 million in January from 4.58 million in December, and are 4.9 percent higher than the 4.47 million level in January 2010. The median existing single-family home price was $159,400 in January, down 2.7 percent from a year ago.
Existing condominium and co-op sales increased 4.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 670,000 in January from 640,000 in December, and are 7.9 percent above the 621,000-unit pace one year ago. The median existing condo price5 was $154,900 in January, which is 10.2 percent below January 2010. Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast fell 4.6 percent to an annual pace of 830,000 in January from a spike in December and are 1.2 percent below January 2010.
The median price in the Northeast was $236,500, which is 4.0 percent below a year ago. Existing-home sales in the Midwest rose 1.8 percent in January to a level of 1.14 million and are 3.6 percent above a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $126,300, which is 3.2 percent below January 2010. In the South, existing-home sales increased 3.6 percent to an annual pace of 2.02 million in January and are 8.0 percent higher than January 2010. The median price in the South was $136,600, down 2.1 percent from a year ago. Existing-home sales in the West rose 7.9 percent to an annual level of 1.37 million in January and are 7.0 percent above January 2010. The median price in the West was $193,200, down 5.7 percent from a year ago.
20 percent in 2009, rising to 28 percent last year.
The national median existing-home price3 for all housing types was $158,800 in January, down 3.7 percent from January 2010. Distressed homes edged up to a 37 percent market share in January from 36 percent in December; it was 38 percent in January 2010. Total housing inventory at the end of January fell 5.1 percent to 3.38 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 7.6-month supply4 at the current sales pace, down from an 8.2-month supply in December. The inventory supply is at the lowest level since December 2009 when there was a 7.3-month supply. Single-family home sales rose 2.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.69 million in January from 4.58 million in December, and are 4.9 percent higher than the 4.47 million level in January 2010. The median existing single-family home price was $159,400 in January, down 2.7 percent from a year ago.
Existing condominium and co-op sales increased 4.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 670,000 in January from 640,000 in December, and are 7.9 percent above the 621,000-unit pace one year ago. The median existing condo price5 was $154,900 in January, which is 10.2 percent below January 2010. Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast fell 4.6 percent to an annual pace of 830,000 in January from a spike in December and are 1.2 percent below January 2010.
The median price in the Northeast was $236,500, which is 4.0 percent below a year ago. Existing-home sales in the Midwest rose 1.8 percent in January to a level of 1.14 million and are 3.6 percent above a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $126,300, which is 3.2 percent below January 2010. In the South, existing-home sales increased 3.6 percent to an annual pace of 2.02 million in January and are 8.0 percent higher than January 2010. The median price in the South was $136,600, down 2.1 percent from a year ago. Existing-home sales in the West rose 7.9 percent to an annual level of 1.37 million in January and are 7.0 percent above January 2010. The median price in the West was $193,200, down 5.7 percent from a year ago.
Thursday, February 24, 2011
MBA - foreclosures up delinquencies down
The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties decreased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 8.22% of all loans outstanding as of the end of the fourth quarter of 2010, a decrease of 91 basis points from the third quarter of 2010, and a decrease of 125 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) National Delinquency Survey. The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate decreased 46 basis points to 8.93% this quarter from 9.39% last quarter. The percentage of loans on which foreclosure actions were started during the fourth quarter was 1.27%, down seven basis points from last quarter and up seven basis points from one year ago. The delinquency rate includes loans that are at least one payment past due but does not include loans in the process of foreclosure.
The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process at the end of the fourth quarter was 4.63%, up 24 basis points from the third quarter of 2010 and up five basis points from one year ago. The serious delinquency rate, the percentage of loans that are 90 days or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, was 8.57%, a decrease of 13 basis points from last quarter, and a decrease of 110 basis points from the fourth quarter of last year. The combined percentage of loans in foreclosure or at least one payment past due was 13.56% on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, a 22 basis point decline from 13.78% last quarter.
Jay Brinkmann, MBA's chief economist said "These latest delinquency numbers represent significant, across the board decreases in mortgage delinquency rates in the US. Total delinquencies, which exclude loans in the process of foreclosure, are now at their lowest level since the end of 2008. Mortgages only one payment past due are now at the lowest level since the end of 2007, the very beginning of the recession. Perhaps most importantly, loans three payments (90 days) or more past due have fallen from an all-time high delinquency rate of 5.02% at the end of the first quarter of 2010 to 3.63% at the end of the fourth quarter of 2010, a drop of 139 basis points or almost 28% over the course of the year. Every state but two saw a drop in the 90-plus day delinquency rate and the two increases were negligible."
"While delinquency and foreclosure rates are still well above historical norms, we have clearly turned the corner. Despite continued high levels of unemployment, the economy did add over 1.2 million private sector jobs during 2010 and, after remaining stubbornly high during the first half of 2010, first time claims for unemployment insurance fell during the second half of the year. Absent a significant economic reversal, the delinquency picture should continue to improve during 2011, Brinkmann said.
Mike Fratantoni, MBA's vice president for single family research said "While the foreclosure starts rate fell during the fourth quarter, the percentage of loans in foreclosure rose to equal the all-time high. The foreclosure inventory rate captures loans from the point of the foreclosure referral to exit from the foreclosure process, either through a cure (perhaps through a modification), a short sale or deed in lieu, or through a foreclosure sale. As we predicted last quarter, the percentage of loans in the foreclosure process increased in the fourth quarter, largely due to the foreclosure paperwork issues that were being addressed in September and October. These issues caused a temporary halt in foreclosure sales, particularly in states with judicial foreclosure regimes, such as New Jersey, Florida, and Illinois.
With fewer loans exiting the foreclosure process through sales, the foreclosure inventory rate naturally increased, even as fewer foreclosure starts meant that fewer loans entered the foreclosure process in the fourth quarter." "The share of loans in foreclosure in California and Florida combined was 36.0%, a decrease from 37.3% in the third quarter, and 39.3% a year ago. Over 24% of the loans in Florida are one payment or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, the highest rate in the nation, followed by Nevada at over 22%, compared to an average of 13.6% for the nation. Only eleven states saw an increase in their foreclosure start rate with Maryland seeing the largest increase."
The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process at the end of the fourth quarter was 4.63%, up 24 basis points from the third quarter of 2010 and up five basis points from one year ago. The serious delinquency rate, the percentage of loans that are 90 days or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, was 8.57%, a decrease of 13 basis points from last quarter, and a decrease of 110 basis points from the fourth quarter of last year. The combined percentage of loans in foreclosure or at least one payment past due was 13.56% on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, a 22 basis point decline from 13.78% last quarter.
Jay Brinkmann, MBA's chief economist said "These latest delinquency numbers represent significant, across the board decreases in mortgage delinquency rates in the US. Total delinquencies, which exclude loans in the process of foreclosure, are now at their lowest level since the end of 2008. Mortgages only one payment past due are now at the lowest level since the end of 2007, the very beginning of the recession. Perhaps most importantly, loans three payments (90 days) or more past due have fallen from an all-time high delinquency rate of 5.02% at the end of the first quarter of 2010 to 3.63% at the end of the fourth quarter of 2010, a drop of 139 basis points or almost 28% over the course of the year. Every state but two saw a drop in the 90-plus day delinquency rate and the two increases were negligible."
"While delinquency and foreclosure rates are still well above historical norms, we have clearly turned the corner. Despite continued high levels of unemployment, the economy did add over 1.2 million private sector jobs during 2010 and, after remaining stubbornly high during the first half of 2010, first time claims for unemployment insurance fell during the second half of the year. Absent a significant economic reversal, the delinquency picture should continue to improve during 2011, Brinkmann said.
Mike Fratantoni, MBA's vice president for single family research said "While the foreclosure starts rate fell during the fourth quarter, the percentage of loans in foreclosure rose to equal the all-time high. The foreclosure inventory rate captures loans from the point of the foreclosure referral to exit from the foreclosure process, either through a cure (perhaps through a modification), a short sale or deed in lieu, or through a foreclosure sale. As we predicted last quarter, the percentage of loans in the foreclosure process increased in the fourth quarter, largely due to the foreclosure paperwork issues that were being addressed in September and October. These issues caused a temporary halt in foreclosure sales, particularly in states with judicial foreclosure regimes, such as New Jersey, Florida, and Illinois.
With fewer loans exiting the foreclosure process through sales, the foreclosure inventory rate naturally increased, even as fewer foreclosure starts meant that fewer loans entered the foreclosure process in the fourth quarter." "The share of loans in foreclosure in California and Florida combined was 36.0%, a decrease from 37.3% in the third quarter, and 39.3% a year ago. Over 24% of the loans in Florida are one payment or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, the highest rate in the nation, followed by Nevada at over 22%, compared to an average of 13.6% for the nation. Only eleven states saw an increase in their foreclosure start rate with Maryland seeing the largest increase."
Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Orlando homes sales increase as affordability hits all-time high
September 10, 2010 – Orlando, FL) Members of the Orlando Regional REALTOR® Association reported completed sales on 2,429 homes in August, which is a 10.91 percent increase over the August 2009 mark of 2,109. To date, Orlando area home sales are up 36.12 percent over this time in 2009.
“As expected, sales have been softer following the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit,” explains ORRA Chairman of the Board Kathleen Gallagher McIver, RE/MAX Town & Country Realty. “However, since May, the number of new contracts has continued to climb as consumers take advantage of record-low mortgage rates and historically high housing affordability.”
The number of new contracts filed in August 2010 (3,892) represents an increase of 17.09 percent more than were filed in August 2009 (3,324). The area’s pending sales statistic — also an indicator of future sales activity – is likewise remaining at a record high with 8.60 percent more homes (8,945) under contract and awaiting closing in August of this year than in August of last year (8,237).
The median price of all existing homes combined sold in August 2010 decreased 21.95 percent to $99,900 from the $128,000 recorded in August 2009. August 2010’s median price is a decrease of 8.10 percent compared to July 2010’s median of $108,700.
“With foreclosures and short sales dominating the market, the median price continues to be lowered,” says Gallagher McIver. “Plus, the rise in popularity of lower-priced condominiums has put additional downward pressure on prices.” Gallagher McIver adds that one in four home sales during the month of August was a condo sale, and the median price for all August condo sales was $44,000.
The median price for “normal” sales is $165,900 (down 5.20 percent from last month’s $175,000). The median price for bank-owned sales is $70,000 (down 2.78 percent from last month’s $72,000), and the median price for short sales is $100,000 (down from last month’s $116,000).
Of the 2,429 sales in August, 691 “normal” sales accounted for 28.45 percent of all sales, while 1,187 bank-owned and 551 short sales made up 71.55 percent.
The Orlando affordability index increased to 270.30 percent in August. (An affordability index of 99 percent means that buyers earning the state-reported median income are 1 percent short of the income necessary to purchase a median-priced home. Conversely, an affordability index that is over 100 means that median-income earners make more than is necessary to qualify for a median-priced home.) Buyers who earn the reported median income of $53,219 can qualify to purchase one of 9,932 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $270,031 or less.
First-time homebuyer affordability in August increased to 192.21 percent. First-time buyers who earn the reported median income of $36,189 can qualify to purchase one of 6,885 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $163,219 or less.
Homes of all types spent an average of 84 days on the market before coming under contract in August 2010, and the average home sold for 95.04 percent of its listing price. In August 2009 those numbers were 94 and 94.44 percent, respectively. The area’s average interest rate decreased in August to 4.61 percent.
Inventory
There are currently 16,535 homes available for purchase through the MLS. Inventory decreased by 28 homes from July 2010, which means that 28 more homes exited the market than entered the market. The August 2010 inventory level is 1.06 percent higher than it was in August 2009 (16,361). The current pace of sales translates into 6.81 months of supply; August 2009 recorded 7.47 months of supply.
There are 12,769 single-family homes currently listed in the MLS, a number that is 859 (7.21 percent) more than in August of last year. Condos currently make up 2,342 offerings in the MLS, while duplexes/town homes/villas make up the remaining 1,424.
Condos and Town Homes/Duplexes/Villas
August when compared to August of 2009 and increased by 5.89 percent compared to July of this year. To date, condo sales are up 74.09 percent (4,596 condos sold to date in 2010, compared to 2,640 by this time in 2009).
The most (361) condos in a single price category that changed hands in August were yet again in the $1 - $50,000 price range, which accounted for 57.39 percent of all condo sales.
Orlando homebuyers purchased 208 duplexes, town homes, and villas in August 2010, which is a 1.96 percent increase from August 2009 when 204 of these alternative housing types were purchased.
“As expected, sales have been softer following the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit,” explains ORRA Chairman of the Board Kathleen Gallagher McIver, RE/MAX Town & Country Realty. “However, since May, the number of new contracts has continued to climb as consumers take advantage of record-low mortgage rates and historically high housing affordability.”
The number of new contracts filed in August 2010 (3,892) represents an increase of 17.09 percent more than were filed in August 2009 (3,324). The area’s pending sales statistic — also an indicator of future sales activity – is likewise remaining at a record high with 8.60 percent more homes (8,945) under contract and awaiting closing in August of this year than in August of last year (8,237).
The median price of all existing homes combined sold in August 2010 decreased 21.95 percent to $99,900 from the $128,000 recorded in August 2009. August 2010’s median price is a decrease of 8.10 percent compared to July 2010’s median of $108,700.
“With foreclosures and short sales dominating the market, the median price continues to be lowered,” says Gallagher McIver. “Plus, the rise in popularity of lower-priced condominiums has put additional downward pressure on prices.” Gallagher McIver adds that one in four home sales during the month of August was a condo sale, and the median price for all August condo sales was $44,000.
The median price for “normal” sales is $165,900 (down 5.20 percent from last month’s $175,000). The median price for bank-owned sales is $70,000 (down 2.78 percent from last month’s $72,000), and the median price for short sales is $100,000 (down from last month’s $116,000).
Of the 2,429 sales in August, 691 “normal” sales accounted for 28.45 percent of all sales, while 1,187 bank-owned and 551 short sales made up 71.55 percent.
The Orlando affordability index increased to 270.30 percent in August. (An affordability index of 99 percent means that buyers earning the state-reported median income are 1 percent short of the income necessary to purchase a median-priced home. Conversely, an affordability index that is over 100 means that median-income earners make more than is necessary to qualify for a median-priced home.) Buyers who earn the reported median income of $53,219 can qualify to purchase one of 9,932 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $270,031 or less.
First-time homebuyer affordability in August increased to 192.21 percent. First-time buyers who earn the reported median income of $36,189 can qualify to purchase one of 6,885 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $163,219 or less.
Homes of all types spent an average of 84 days on the market before coming under contract in August 2010, and the average home sold for 95.04 percent of its listing price. In August 2009 those numbers were 94 and 94.44 percent, respectively. The area’s average interest rate decreased in August to 4.61 percent.
Inventory
There are currently 16,535 homes available for purchase through the MLS. Inventory decreased by 28 homes from July 2010, which means that 28 more homes exited the market than entered the market. The August 2010 inventory level is 1.06 percent higher than it was in August 2009 (16,361). The current pace of sales translates into 6.81 months of supply; August 2009 recorded 7.47 months of supply.
There are 12,769 single-family homes currently listed in the MLS, a number that is 859 (7.21 percent) more than in August of last year. Condos currently make up 2,342 offerings in the MLS, while duplexes/town homes/villas make up the remaining 1,424.
Condos and Town Homes/Duplexes/Villas
August when compared to August of 2009 and increased by 5.89 percent compared to July of this year. To date, condo sales are up 74.09 percent (4,596 condos sold to date in 2010, compared to 2,640 by this time in 2009).
The most (361) condos in a single price category that changed hands in August were yet again in the $1 - $50,000 price range, which accounted for 57.39 percent of all condo sales.
Orlando homebuyers purchased 208 duplexes, town homes, and villas in August 2010, which is a 1.96 percent increase from August 2009 when 204 of these alternative housing types were purchased.
Monday, July 26, 2010
Pace of Orlando home sales remains strong in June
(July 12, 2010 – Orlando, FL) Strong homebuyer demand continued in June, elevating the level of home sales and increasing the area’s month-over-month median sales price for the sixth consecutive month. Members of the Orlando Regional REALTOR® Association reported completed sales on 2,834 homes in June, which is a 27.66 percent increase over the June 2009 mark of 2,220.
The number of new contracts filed in June 2010 (3,736) represents an increase of 1.36 percent more than were filed in June 2009 (3,686). The area’s pending sales statistic — also an indicator of future sales activity – is likewise remaining at a record high with 33.13 percent more homes (9,625) under contract and awaiting closing in June of this year than in June of last year (7,230).
And finally, the median price of all existing homes combined sold in June 2010 increased 0.87 percent to $116,000 from the $115,000 recorded in May 2010. June 2010’s median price is, however, a decrease of 11.57 percent compared to June 2009’s median of $131,175.
“Sales in June got a boost from the homebuyer tax credit, as buyers raced to close by the original deadline. The extended deadline of September 30, 2010 for closing tax credit eligible transactions will continue to increase sales in the next few months,” explains ORRA Chairman of the Board Kathleen Gallagher McIver, RE/MAX Town & Country Realty. “Even with the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit, buying conditions remain favorable. Affordability, historically low interest rates, and a great selection of homes make this an excellent time to buy a home in Orlando.”
June’s $116,000 median price encompasses all types of sales situations and home types. The median price for “normal” sales is $175,000 (up 9.38 percent from last month’s $160,000). The median price for bank-owned sales is $77,500 (down 4.32 percent from last month’s $81,000), and the median price for short sales is $115,526 (up 4.78 percent from last month’s $110,000).
Of the 2,834 sales in June, 911 “normal” sales accounted for 32.15 percent of all sales, while 1,211 bank-owned and 712 short sales made up 67.85 percent.
The Orlando affordability index decreased to 226.29 percent in June. (An affordability index of 99 percent means that buyers earning the state-reported median income are 1 percent short of the income necessary to purchase a median-priced home. Conversely, an affordability index that is over 100 means that median-income earners make more than is necessary to qualify for a median-priced home.) Buyers who earn the reported median income of $53,105 can qualify to purchase one of 12,178 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $262,496 or less.
First-time homebuyer affordability in June decreased to 160.92 percent. First-time buyers who earn the reported median income of $36,111 can qualify to purchase one of 8,204 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $158,664 or less.
Homes of all types spent an average of 85 days on the market before coming under contract in June 2010, and the average home sold for 95.33 percent of its listing price. In June 2009 those numbers were 104 and 93.83 percent, respectively. The area’s average interest rate decreased in June to 4.84 percent.
Inventory
There are currently 16,304 homes available for purchase through the MLS. Inventory increased by 341 homes from May 2010, which means that 341 more homes entered the market than left the market. The June 2010 inventory level is 8.56 percent lower than it was in June 2009 (17,831). The current pace of sales translates into 5.75 months of supply; June 2009 recorded 8.03 months of supply.
There are 12,353 single-family homes currently listed in the MLS, a number that is 509 (3.96 percent) less than in June of last year. Condos currently make up 2,568 offerings in the MLS, while duplexes/town homes/villas make up the remaining 1,383.
Condos and Town Homes/Duplexes/Villas
The sales of condos in the Orlando area increased by 48.54 percent in June when compared to June of 2009 and decreased by 4.99 percent compared to May of this year. To date, condo sales are up 85.20 percent (3,328 condos sold to date in 2010, compared to 1,797 by this time in 2009).
The most (326) condos in a single price category that changed hands in June were yet again in the $1 - $50,000 price range, which accounted for 53.53 percent of all condo sales.
Orlando homebuyers purchased 291 duplexes, town homes, and villas in June 2010, which is a 59.02 percent increase from June 2009 when 183 of these alternative housing types were purchased. Fifty duplexes, town homes, and villas sold in June 2010 fell into the $100,000 - $120,000 price categories.
The number of new contracts filed in June 2010 (3,736) represents an increase of 1.36 percent more than were filed in June 2009 (3,686). The area’s pending sales statistic — also an indicator of future sales activity – is likewise remaining at a record high with 33.13 percent more homes (9,625) under contract and awaiting closing in June of this year than in June of last year (7,230).
And finally, the median price of all existing homes combined sold in June 2010 increased 0.87 percent to $116,000 from the $115,000 recorded in May 2010. June 2010’s median price is, however, a decrease of 11.57 percent compared to June 2009’s median of $131,175.
“Sales in June got a boost from the homebuyer tax credit, as buyers raced to close by the original deadline. The extended deadline of September 30, 2010 for closing tax credit eligible transactions will continue to increase sales in the next few months,” explains ORRA Chairman of the Board Kathleen Gallagher McIver, RE/MAX Town & Country Realty. “Even with the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit, buying conditions remain favorable. Affordability, historically low interest rates, and a great selection of homes make this an excellent time to buy a home in Orlando.”
June’s $116,000 median price encompasses all types of sales situations and home types. The median price for “normal” sales is $175,000 (up 9.38 percent from last month’s $160,000). The median price for bank-owned sales is $77,500 (down 4.32 percent from last month’s $81,000), and the median price for short sales is $115,526 (up 4.78 percent from last month’s $110,000).
Of the 2,834 sales in June, 911 “normal” sales accounted for 32.15 percent of all sales, while 1,211 bank-owned and 712 short sales made up 67.85 percent.
The Orlando affordability index decreased to 226.29 percent in June. (An affordability index of 99 percent means that buyers earning the state-reported median income are 1 percent short of the income necessary to purchase a median-priced home. Conversely, an affordability index that is over 100 means that median-income earners make more than is necessary to qualify for a median-priced home.) Buyers who earn the reported median income of $53,105 can qualify to purchase one of 12,178 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $262,496 or less.
First-time homebuyer affordability in June decreased to 160.92 percent. First-time buyers who earn the reported median income of $36,111 can qualify to purchase one of 8,204 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $158,664 or less.
Homes of all types spent an average of 85 days on the market before coming under contract in June 2010, and the average home sold for 95.33 percent of its listing price. In June 2009 those numbers were 104 and 93.83 percent, respectively. The area’s average interest rate decreased in June to 4.84 percent.
Inventory
There are currently 16,304 homes available for purchase through the MLS. Inventory increased by 341 homes from May 2010, which means that 341 more homes entered the market than left the market. The June 2010 inventory level is 8.56 percent lower than it was in June 2009 (17,831). The current pace of sales translates into 5.75 months of supply; June 2009 recorded 8.03 months of supply.
There are 12,353 single-family homes currently listed in the MLS, a number that is 509 (3.96 percent) less than in June of last year. Condos currently make up 2,568 offerings in the MLS, while duplexes/town homes/villas make up the remaining 1,383.
Condos and Town Homes/Duplexes/Villas
The sales of condos in the Orlando area increased by 48.54 percent in June when compared to June of 2009 and decreased by 4.99 percent compared to May of this year. To date, condo sales are up 85.20 percent (3,328 condos sold to date in 2010, compared to 1,797 by this time in 2009).
The most (326) condos in a single price category that changed hands in June were yet again in the $1 - $50,000 price range, which accounted for 53.53 percent of all condo sales.
Orlando homebuyers purchased 291 duplexes, town homes, and villas in June 2010, which is a 59.02 percent increase from June 2009 when 183 of these alternative housing types were purchased. Fifty duplexes, town homes, and villas sold in June 2010 fell into the $100,000 - $120,000 price categories.
Tuesday, July 6, 2010
Homebuyer Traffic Tumbled in May as First-Time Homebuyer Shopping Stalled
Homebuyer traffic nationwide tumbled in May, according to the latest
Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance Monthly Survey of Real Estate Market
Conditions. Most of the decline was attributable to first-time homebuyers who
sharply reduced their home shopping last month.
The survey's first-time homebuyer traffic index, which measures home shopping activity on a scale of 1 to 100, registered an anemic 35.1 in May. This was down from an index of 63.5 in April. Since September 2009, the index had never been below 50, which represents a flat, or neutral, condition in home purchase activity.
“The decline of first-time homebuyer traffic is undoubtedly related to the expiration of the federal homebuyer tax credit,” stated Thomas Popik, research
director for Campbell Surveys. “Homebuyers had until April 30 to sign a purchase and sale agreement and receive the credit. Once we entered the month of May, the government stimulus disappeared.”
Thanks to its own tax break, California fared better than the country overall in
terms of first-time homebuyer activity, the survey found. The California index for first-time homebuyer traffic jumped to 63.1 in April, but still managed to stay relatively flat in May at 49.4, California enacted its own $10,000 credit for first-time homebuyers on May 1, the day after expiration of the federal tax credit.
Real estate agents responding to the survey commented on the decrease in homebuyer traffic in May, which ultimately will produce fewer closed transactions later in the summer. “The expiration of the tax credit caused a significant decline in buyer activity in May, with buyers who didn't get a suitable house in time for the tax credit opting to wait and see what happens to prices without the vailability of thell/Inside Mortgage tax credit. I expect to see a significant decrease in July's closed transactions,” commented an agent in Arizona.
“We have noticed a substantial decrease in activity since April 30th. There are a lot less Purchase and Sales Agreements being typed and other agents are complaining it's slow again,” stated an agent in Massachusetts. “I got no signed purchase agreements in May. I think the number of closed transactions in July will be very low,” added an agent in Indiana.
Traffic among current homeowners seeking to upsize or downsize also softened in the month of May, but to a lesser degree, the latest survey found. The nationwide index for current homebuyer traffic registered 45.5 in May, down from 55.2 in April. Expiration of the homebuyer tax credit for current homeowners was less of a factor because the tax credit dollar incentive was lower, both on an absolute basis and on a percent of transaction basis.
Interestingly, the proportion of closed transactions for first-time homebuyers also declined in May, furthering a trend first observed in April. In March, first-time homebuyers accounted for 48.2% of home purchases; by April their proportion had declined to 43.4%.
The trend continued in May, with first-time homebuyers accounting for 42.0% of home purchases. This decline is surprising since first-time homebuyers have until the end of June to close transactions and receive the federal tax credit.
A significant number of agents responding to the survey believe that transactions will rebound as homebuyers waiting out the end of the tax credit come back into a housing market that has fewer people bidding up the price of properties. “We saw a drop in activity for 3-4 weeks and now it is back to a more normal summer market. I anticipate that it will continue to increase and pick up after school gets out,” stated an agent in Minnesota.
“The first-time homebuyer tax credit, originally due to expire last November and then extended through the first half of 2010, appears to have depleted the pool of willing buyers earlier than expected,” commented Popik. “Whether this depletion is temporary or whether the market will rebound won’t be known until we measure traffic in June and July.”
Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance Monthly Survey of Real Estate Market
Conditions. Most of the decline was attributable to first-time homebuyers who
sharply reduced their home shopping last month.
The survey's first-time homebuyer traffic index, which measures home shopping activity on a scale of 1 to 100, registered an anemic 35.1 in May. This was down from an index of 63.5 in April. Since September 2009, the index had never been below 50, which represents a flat, or neutral, condition in home purchase activity.
“The decline of first-time homebuyer traffic is undoubtedly related to the expiration of the federal homebuyer tax credit,” stated Thomas Popik, research
director for Campbell Surveys. “Homebuyers had until April 30 to sign a purchase and sale agreement and receive the credit. Once we entered the month of May, the government stimulus disappeared.”
Thanks to its own tax break, California fared better than the country overall in
terms of first-time homebuyer activity, the survey found. The California index for first-time homebuyer traffic jumped to 63.1 in April, but still managed to stay relatively flat in May at 49.4, California enacted its own $10,000 credit for first-time homebuyers on May 1, the day after expiration of the federal tax credit.
Real estate agents responding to the survey commented on the decrease in homebuyer traffic in May, which ultimately will produce fewer closed transactions later in the summer. “The expiration of the tax credit caused a significant decline in buyer activity in May, with buyers who didn't get a suitable house in time for the tax credit opting to wait and see what happens to prices without the vailability of thell/Inside Mortgage tax credit. I expect to see a significant decrease in July's closed transactions,” commented an agent in Arizona.
“We have noticed a substantial decrease in activity since April 30th. There are a lot less Purchase and Sales Agreements being typed and other agents are complaining it's slow again,” stated an agent in Massachusetts. “I got no signed purchase agreements in May. I think the number of closed transactions in July will be very low,” added an agent in Indiana.
Traffic among current homeowners seeking to upsize or downsize also softened in the month of May, but to a lesser degree, the latest survey found. The nationwide index for current homebuyer traffic registered 45.5 in May, down from 55.2 in April. Expiration of the homebuyer tax credit for current homeowners was less of a factor because the tax credit dollar incentive was lower, both on an absolute basis and on a percent of transaction basis.
Interestingly, the proportion of closed transactions for first-time homebuyers also declined in May, furthering a trend first observed in April. In March, first-time homebuyers accounted for 48.2% of home purchases; by April their proportion had declined to 43.4%.
The trend continued in May, with first-time homebuyers accounting for 42.0% of home purchases. This decline is surprising since first-time homebuyers have until the end of June to close transactions and receive the federal tax credit.
A significant number of agents responding to the survey believe that transactions will rebound as homebuyers waiting out the end of the tax credit come back into a housing market that has fewer people bidding up the price of properties. “We saw a drop in activity for 3-4 weeks and now it is back to a more normal summer market. I anticipate that it will continue to increase and pick up after school gets out,” stated an agent in Minnesota.
“The first-time homebuyer tax credit, originally due to expire last November and then extended through the first half of 2010, appears to have depleted the pool of willing buyers earlier than expected,” commented Popik. “Whether this depletion is temporary or whether the market will rebound won’t be known until we measure traffic in June and July.”
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Gaining More From Short Sale
The Process on real estate short-selling varies from one State to the other. However, the purpose of purchasing and short sale for agents or Investors does not. The reason that agents and investors play the real estate game is for the potential of gain. The chance to invest in a market on their own. Like a stock broker to stock, the average man can become the next real estate guru
The real estate business can be a lucrative investment for anybody. Knowing the ins and outs of the business will enable a higher rate of success and greater amount of financial gains. This can be a big disappointment for most people who involve themselves in this business without much research on the proper and legal proceedings that are involved in the real estate business. Even with the complicated process on short sales in real estate, it is still known to be among the very good ways of gaining real estate wealth. With the profitability of getting involved in the short sale business, secrets have been discovered and practiced by experts in the real estate's short sale sector.
Since the competition is huge in this very promising business, most of these secrets are hidden and not often shared openly to other agents. For a rookie, seeing all the frustration and headache the pre-foreclosure and short sale process brings can be intimidating. You may reach the brink of giving up on and admitting to failure and raising the white flag in real estate selling. However, you may be giving up a future of pleasure and financial enjoyment. This does not need to be the case; we have developed tools for you for your continuous venture in real estate.
You have vested a lot already, from the education, licensing and financial investments from the buying, to the legal process and renovations. This is not a great time for you to give up. We do not want you to give up, either. There are people like us that are not selfish on the information, we also want you to be successful and learn the expert way of the trade.
Inflated initial investment and expensive renovations and repair of the procured pre-foreclosed property will mean that you will end with a lower profit. Mis-management of the essential parts of buying and selling real estate in this market can be any real estate investor’s downfall. Not having an exit strategy in place prior to buying the home is another downfall of the real estate agent or investor. However having a system in place, financing with Creative Alternative Options is one of the many keys to the gates of wisdom.
The real estate business can be a lucrative investment for anybody. Knowing the ins and outs of the business will enable a higher rate of success and greater amount of financial gains. This can be a big disappointment for most people who involve themselves in this business without much research on the proper and legal proceedings that are involved in the real estate business. Even with the complicated process on short sales in real estate, it is still known to be among the very good ways of gaining real estate wealth. With the profitability of getting involved in the short sale business, secrets have been discovered and practiced by experts in the real estate's short sale sector.
Since the competition is huge in this very promising business, most of these secrets are hidden and not often shared openly to other agents. For a rookie, seeing all the frustration and headache the pre-foreclosure and short sale process brings can be intimidating. You may reach the brink of giving up on and admitting to failure and raising the white flag in real estate selling. However, you may be giving up a future of pleasure and financial enjoyment. This does not need to be the case; we have developed tools for you for your continuous venture in real estate.
You have vested a lot already, from the education, licensing and financial investments from the buying, to the legal process and renovations. This is not a great time for you to give up. We do not want you to give up, either. There are people like us that are not selfish on the information, we also want you to be successful and learn the expert way of the trade.
Inflated initial investment and expensive renovations and repair of the procured pre-foreclosed property will mean that you will end with a lower profit. Mis-management of the essential parts of buying and selling real estate in this market can be any real estate investor’s downfall. Not having an exit strategy in place prior to buying the home is another downfall of the real estate agent or investor. However having a system in place, financing with Creative Alternative Options is one of the many keys to the gates of wisdom.
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