Showing posts with label finance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label finance. Show all posts
Wednesday, July 18, 2012
WSJ - tax liens triggering foreclosures
A report released this week by the National Consumer Law Center
(NCLC), says the number of foreclosures tied to delinquent tax
payments is climbing. The NCLC, an advocacy group, estimates that
$15 billion of tax-lien foreclosures happened in 2010, the latest
year for which data are available. Rising tax-lien problems stem
from two overlapping trends associated with the weak economy: To
close budget deficits, some local governments are increasing
proxy taxes to raise additional revenue. But a growing number of
homeowners, many unemployed or living on fixed incomes, are
finding those tax bills—even before rate increases—a strain.
When homeowners fail to pay, municipalities have the legal
authority to foreclose or auction off the tax lien to debt
collectors, who can charge interest rates as high as 50% on the
outstanding balances. If the homeowner doesn't pay—the
deadlines to do so vary across the nation—many states allow the
tax-lien holders to take ownership of the properties and resell
them.
While the sales are causing distress for some homeowners, they
reflect hard fiscal realities at the state and municipal level.
"Cities and towns are facing their own budget problems and of
course need homeowners to make prompt tax payments," says John
Rao, an NCLC attorney who wrote the report. Homeowners are
slipping on tax payments for the same reasons they are falling
behind on mortgage payments, Mr. Rao said: "They're unemployed,
or underemployed, expenses have gone up, and you don't have
enough money." Advocates for the elderly and the unemployed, the
groups most at risk of losing their homes, say it isn't uncommon
for consumers with homes valued at hundreds of thousands of
dollars to lose the properties after failing to pay a few
thousand dollars in taxes. "The system is really
counterintuitive," said Laura Newland, an attorney with AARP, an
advocacy group for people age 50 and older. "Some of the
properties that are most vulnerable are the ones without a
mortgage." (Local taxes on homes with a mortgage are often paid
by the mortgage lender, which collects taxes from homeowners in
their monthly payments.) Frank Alexander, a professor who
specializes in tax-law foreclosures at Emory University's law
school, said municipal governments selling tax liens are being
shortsighted. "It creates short-term cash, but generates
long-term problems," he said, pointing out that tax-lien sales
and tax foreclosures often spark legal challenges that can last
for years and prove costly for homeowners and municipal
governments.
Friday, October 7, 2011
Surprise! Dodd Frank cost passed on to consumers
Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan defended the bank's decision to impose a $5 debit card fee on customers next year, saying it was needed, in part, to recoup billions of dollars in costs from complying with Dodd-Frank law. "I have an inherent duty as a CEO of a publicly held company to get a return for my shareholders," he said at the Aspen Institute in Washington. "At the same time, I have an inherent duty to do a great job for my customers." He wouldn't say if other Bank of America fees would be raised. He said the bank — the nation's largest mortgage lender through its purchase of Countrywide Financial — is trying to work through the backlog of its mortgage foreclosures and "find a resolution" with the state attorneys general suing Bank of America and other banks over their mortgage practices.
Wednesday, September 14, 2011
friction in Obama's refi proposal
"The response to President Obama's recent proposal to refinance more borrowers into lower interest rate mortgages was at best underwhelming and at worst scathing. The plan would expand the government's so-far disappointing, Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP), which helps current but underwater borrowers with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans to refinance. 'Mr. President, the housing market is the foundation of the US economy. It is cracked and chipping away,' writes Florida real estate consultant Jack McCabe in an editorial in the Herald-Tribune. 'The walls are beginning to cave. Your answer, anecdotally, seems to be put a new roof on it.' McCabe is calling for principal write-down for troubled mortgages, not refinances for borrowers who are current on their monthly payments. The argument so far against principal write-down is that it would cost banks and investors (including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) too much.
Unfortunately the plan, which could allow borrowers with more than 25% in negative equity to refinance, is being deemed too costly as well. While the Congressional Budget Office estimated it would cost investors in the original mortgages between $13
and $15 billion (while potentially saving 111,000 borrowers from defaulting), analysts at JP Morgan Chase say it would cost more: If such a policy were successful on a large scale, it would clearly devalue higher coupons, and would threaten lower coupons
with incremental gross supply. A more modest HARP overhaul, while less disruptive, still forces investors to require more conservative valuations until details emerge.
All these arguments, however, may be moot, as the overseer of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which would have to approve the refinance effort, is sounding wildly cautious. In a statement following the President's speech, Director Ed DeMarco states, 'If there are frictions associated with the origination of HARP loans that can be eased while still achieving the program's intent of assisting borrowers and reducing credit risk for the Enterprises, we will seek to do so.' He goes on to say, however, that there are 'several challenging issues to work through,' and then he uses the word 'uncertain' twice in characterizing any outcome. While DeMarco doesn't detail said 'frictions,' they are vast and not limited to investor cost. First of all, too many borrowers probably still wouldn't qualify if they just did away with the loan to value ratio of 125%. Of the 838,400 HARP refinancings done so far, only 62,432 had LTVs above 105%, according to Jaret Seiberg at MF Global. 'We believe lenders are reluctant to HARP a loan if they fear the borrower is so underwater that they might default anyway,' writes Seiberg. Then there are issues of loan origination dates, put-backs on loans that default and borrower qualifications. Frictions. Beyond the friction, however, is the simple fact that a refinance program, while potentially an economic stimulus, is not a housing stimulus and shouldn't be characterized as such. The HARP program is and always was for current borrowers and does nothing to address the millions of non-current borrowers, bank-owned foreclosed homes and falling home prices."
Unfortunately the plan, which could allow borrowers with more than 25% in negative equity to refinance, is being deemed too costly as well. While the Congressional Budget Office estimated it would cost investors in the original mortgages between $13
and $15 billion (while potentially saving 111,000 borrowers from defaulting), analysts at JP Morgan Chase say it would cost more: If such a policy were successful on a large scale, it would clearly devalue higher coupons, and would threaten lower coupons
with incremental gross supply. A more modest HARP overhaul, while less disruptive, still forces investors to require more conservative valuations until details emerge.
All these arguments, however, may be moot, as the overseer of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which would have to approve the refinance effort, is sounding wildly cautious. In a statement following the President's speech, Director Ed DeMarco states, 'If there are frictions associated with the origination of HARP loans that can be eased while still achieving the program's intent of assisting borrowers and reducing credit risk for the Enterprises, we will seek to do so.' He goes on to say, however, that there are 'several challenging issues to work through,' and then he uses the word 'uncertain' twice in characterizing any outcome. While DeMarco doesn't detail said 'frictions,' they are vast and not limited to investor cost. First of all, too many borrowers probably still wouldn't qualify if they just did away with the loan to value ratio of 125%. Of the 838,400 HARP refinancings done so far, only 62,432 had LTVs above 105%, according to Jaret Seiberg at MF Global. 'We believe lenders are reluctant to HARP a loan if they fear the borrower is so underwater that they might default anyway,' writes Seiberg. Then there are issues of loan origination dates, put-backs on loans that default and borrower qualifications. Frictions. Beyond the friction, however, is the simple fact that a refinance program, while potentially an economic stimulus, is not a housing stimulus and shouldn't be characterized as such. The HARP program is and always was for current borrowers and does nothing to address the millions of non-current borrowers, bank-owned foreclosed homes and falling home prices."
Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Delinquencies Rise, Foreclosures Fall in Latest MBA Mortgage
The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 8.44 percent of all loans outstanding as of the end of the second quarter of 2011, an increase of 12 basis points from the first
quarter of 2011, and a decrease of 141 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) National Delinquency Survey. The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate increased 32 basis points to 8.11 percent this
quarter from 7.79 percent last quarter. The percentage of loans on which foreclosure actions were started during the second quarter was 0.96 percent, down 12 basis points from last quarter and down 15 basis points from one year ago.
The delinquency rate includes loans that are at least one payment past due but does not include loans in the process of foreclosure. The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process at the end of the second quarter was 4.43 percent, down 9 basis
points from the first quarter and 14 basis points lower than one year ago. The serious delinquency rate, the percentage of loans that are 90 days or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, was 7.85 percent, a decrease of 25 basis points from last quarter, and a decrease of 126 basis points from the second quarter of last year. The combined percentage of loans in foreclosure or at least one payment past due was 12.54 percent on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, a 23 basis point increase from last quarter, but was 143 basis points lower than a year ago.
Mortgage delinquencies are no longer improving and are now showing some signs of worsening," said Jay Brinkmann, MBA's Chief Economist. Foreclosure inventory rates also fell, to their lowest level since the third quarter of 2010. While some have
argued that this drop in foreclosures is a temporary drop which does not reflect the problems yet to come, this does not appear to be the case, at least at the national level.
The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 8.44 percent of all loans outstanding as of the end of the second quarter of 2011, an increase of 12 basis points from the first
quarter of 2011, and a decrease of 141 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) National Delinquency Survey. The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate increased 32 basis points to 8.11 percent this
quarter from 7.79 percent last quarter. The percentage of loans on which foreclosure actions were started during the second quarter was 0.96 percent, down 12 basis points from last quarter and down 15 basis points from one year ago.
The delinquency rate includes loans that are at least one payment past due but does not include loans in the process of foreclosure. The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process at the end of the second quarter was 4.43 percent, down 9 basis
points from the first quarter and 14 basis points lower than one year ago. The serious delinquency rate, the percentage of loans that are 90 days or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, was 7.85 percent, a decrease of 25 basis points from last quarter, and a decrease of 126 basis points from the second quarter of last year. The combined percentage of loans in foreclosure or at least one payment past due was 12.54 percent on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, a 23 basis point increase from last quarter, but was 143 basis points lower than a year ago.
Mortgage delinquencies are no longer improving and are now showing some signs of worsening," said Jay Brinkmann, MBA's Chief Economist. Foreclosure inventory rates also fell, to their lowest level since the third quarter of 2010. While some have
argued that this drop in foreclosures is a temporary drop which does not reflect the problems yet to come, this does not appear to be the case, at least at the national level.
Monday, August 15, 2011
BEREL Sunday International Investing Edition: Wells Fargo Turns to Ireland for Loan Portfolios
In a $1.4 billion deal, Wells Fargo has won the Bank of Ireland’s U.S. commercial-real-estate loan portfolio as the Irish bank attempts to deleverage its assets. The portfolio consists of 25 loans sold at close to face value and backed primarily by properties in New York, Boston and Washington[1]. The Bank of Ireland was ordered by Ireland’s financial regulator to deleverage by cutting the lender’s loan portfolio by $43 billion by the end of 2013. Wells Fargo also purchased an additional $1 billion in loans from Allied Irish Banks earlier this year and is now taking aim at a $9.5 billion portfolio of loans in the offing from the Anglo Irish Bank Corporation. The latter includes commercial “trophy properties” in New York City and Chicago.
JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America are also after the Anglo Irish Bank portfolio and have submitted bids on it[2]. Most of the loans are expected to perform through maturity. The sale will also be the first of its kind, since “this is the first foreign bank to sell its entire U.S. loan portfolio, and it will be good test of the market,” said head of global real estate practice at law firm Greenberg Traurig, Robert Ivanhoe.
Do you think it’s a good thing that American lenders are buying back American loans, or should they be doing other things with these billions of dollars?
Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Study Reveals Original Foreclosure-Related Documents Often Do Not Exist
If a lender has not been paid in months or years and believes that they can convert a property to a performing investment, then they are going to have a very high interest in foreclosing. However, in many cases, if they had to use real, legitimate, original documents to carry out that process, it simply would never happen. Why? Because the originals simply do not exist[1]. Reuters calls this “one of the overlooked legacies of the housing boom,” and explains in a new report that “in the rush to make new home loans and sell them off as fast as possible…the original lenders…destroyed original documents or never turned them over as required.” As a result, promissory notes and mortgages frequently never made it to the end-buyer – or even just the next guy in line. This means that “many pension funds, insurance companies and hedge funds that invested in [investor] trusts never got formal title to the mortgages they had paid for.” And that means that when it comes time to foreclose, they may have no choice but to use doctored or replicated documents in order to do so. Analysts speculate that the reason that there has not been an audit or an investigation of this issue may be simply that “if the extent of the problem became known, the housing market might worsen.” For example, the country’s largest sub-prime lender (it collapsed in 2007) almost never endorsed promissory notes or assigned mortgages to the trusts that bought its mortgages, meaning that trusts may be out millions of dollars and a millions of homes could end up with clouds on their titles.
Saturday, June 25, 2011
WSJ - mortgage rates flat
Mortgage rates changed little for a second straight week, according to the latest survey from Freddie Mac. Mortgage rates generally track Treasury yields, which move inversely to Treasury prices. Rates have slumped for months as yields on Treasury’s slid amid economic uncertainty. Freddie Mac Chief Economist Frank Nothaft pointed to more signs of a softening US housing market, including the Federal Reserve's policy-committee statement on Wednesday, which acknowledged continued weakness in the sector. "Although new construction on single-family homes ticked up in May from April, it was still below the overall pace set in 2010," Mr. Nothaft said. "Moreover, existing home sales fell 3.8% in May to the fewest since November 2010."
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was at 4.5% in the week ended Thursday, the same rate as in the previous week, though the rate was below last year's 4.69% average. The 30-year rate has fallen steadily since reaching the 2011 high of 5.05% in early February. Rates on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages edged up to 3.69% from 3.67% the previous week but were down from 3.13% a year earlier. Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages decreased to 3.25%, down from 3.27% last week and 3.84% a year earlier. One-year Treasury-indexed ARM rates ticked up to 2.99% from 2.97% the prior week, but still well below the prior year's 3.77% rate. To obtain the rates, 30-year and 15-year fixed-rate borrowers required an average payment of 0.8 point and 0.7 point, respectively. Five-year hybrid adjustable rate mortgages required a 0.6-point payment, while one-year adjustable-rate mortgages required a 0.5-point payment. A point is 1% of the mortgage amount, charged as prepaid interest.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was at 4.5% in the week ended Thursday, the same rate as in the previous week, though the rate was below last year's 4.69% average. The 30-year rate has fallen steadily since reaching the 2011 high of 5.05% in early February. Rates on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages edged up to 3.69% from 3.67% the previous week but were down from 3.13% a year earlier. Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages decreased to 3.25%, down from 3.27% last week and 3.84% a year earlier. One-year Treasury-indexed ARM rates ticked up to 2.99% from 2.97% the prior week, but still well below the prior year's 3.77% rate. To obtain the rates, 30-year and 15-year fixed-rate borrowers required an average payment of 0.8 point and 0.7 point, respectively. Five-year hybrid adjustable rate mortgages required a 0.6-point payment, while one-year adjustable-rate mortgages required a 0.5-point payment. A point is 1% of the mortgage amount, charged as prepaid interest.
Tuesday, May 31, 2011
why should we care about foreclosures?
"Earlier this week, when we got the report of a bump up in sales
of newly constructed homes, I cautioned that the home builders
are still facing huge competition from distressed properties
(foreclosures and short sales). Today we have some new numbers
showing just how big and how widespread that competition is.
Foreclosed properties made up 28% of all home sales nationwide in
the first quarter of this year, according to RealtyTrac. That's
up slightly from Q4 of 2010, but not the record 29% we saw a year
ago. More than 107,000 bank-owned (REO) properties sold, which is
actually a drop from the previous quarter and a bigger drop (36%)
from a year ago. Foreclosed properties sold at a 35% discount to
their non-distressed counterparts.
So here we have fewer selling but making up a larger share of
total sales. That's not particularly healthy. We need to get more
of these properties sold, because as I showed you on the blog
Tuesday, there are hundreds of thousands of them and millions
more in the potential pipeline. This is not exactly news, but
every time I report it I get the argument back here on the blog
that these distressed sales are only happening in certain states
and don't affect the overall housing market. There is some truth
to that, at least the first part. I asked RealtyTrac to pull some
other numbers for me to show what I'm talking about. More than
three quarters of all distressed sales (78%) were in just ten
states. You can see the usual suspects, California, Florida,
Arizona, Nevada and much of the Mid-West. That's a problem for
the builders because so much of their most recent inventory is in
those states. But what about the rest of us? It begs two
questions: 1) If I don't live in these states, why should I care?
2) If the worst is only in a few states, then why are home prices
falling nationwide?
Here's RealtyTrac's Rick Sharga's explanation: 'The 10 states
include several of the states with the highest number of overall
home sales; driving prices down in California and Florida has
much more impact on national averages than fluctuating home
prices in Alaska and Wyoming. It's not all about geography.
While foreclosure sales obviously depress the price of homes
nearby, they also affect prices by limiting new home sales, which
typically help drive home prices up. But foreclosure sales are
only one of the factors behind falling home prices. Weak demand
is probably the biggest driver.'
And I contend that weak demand is driven by several factors, not
the least of which are credit and confidence. The banks are
looking at their overall book of business and the losses they're
still taking; the losses are concentrated in those states that
are continuing to suffer the most. Regardless, they spread that
pain nationwide in their lending standards, tightening up to the
point that many borrowers far far away from California can't get
a loan. Confidence, or lack thereof, is a bigger factor than we
often give it credit. Yes, the big bad media report all these
numbers, and yes, some of the worst of it is nowhere near where
you live, but you see and process it. It affects your confidence
and consequently how you act.
Housing demand is nowhere near where it should be, and the mix of
what is selling is all on the low end. Investors with cash and
first time home buyers are bargain hunting, and that pushes the
price average/median down in every market. As prices fall on real
sales, thousands of borrowers fall underwater on paper...on their
mortgages, and that puts them at higher risk of foreclosure.
'Residential home sales fell by 18% in Q1 2011 compared to Q4
2010 and by almost 32% from Q1 2010,' notes Sharga. Foreclosures
and distressed sales, even if they're not in your back yard or in
your state, affect your home's value because they affect the
overall demand for your home."
of newly constructed homes, I cautioned that the home builders
are still facing huge competition from distressed properties
(foreclosures and short sales). Today we have some new numbers
showing just how big and how widespread that competition is.
Foreclosed properties made up 28% of all home sales nationwide in
the first quarter of this year, according to RealtyTrac. That's
up slightly from Q4 of 2010, but not the record 29% we saw a year
ago. More than 107,000 bank-owned (REO) properties sold, which is
actually a drop from the previous quarter and a bigger drop (36%)
from a year ago. Foreclosed properties sold at a 35% discount to
their non-distressed counterparts.
So here we have fewer selling but making up a larger share of
total sales. That's not particularly healthy. We need to get more
of these properties sold, because as I showed you on the blog
Tuesday, there are hundreds of thousands of them and millions
more in the potential pipeline. This is not exactly news, but
every time I report it I get the argument back here on the blog
that these distressed sales are only happening in certain states
and don't affect the overall housing market. There is some truth
to that, at least the first part. I asked RealtyTrac to pull some
other numbers for me to show what I'm talking about. More than
three quarters of all distressed sales (78%) were in just ten
states. You can see the usual suspects, California, Florida,
Arizona, Nevada and much of the Mid-West. That's a problem for
the builders because so much of their most recent inventory is in
those states. But what about the rest of us? It begs two
questions: 1) If I don't live in these states, why should I care?
2) If the worst is only in a few states, then why are home prices
falling nationwide?
Here's RealtyTrac's Rick Sharga's explanation: 'The 10 states
include several of the states with the highest number of overall
home sales; driving prices down in California and Florida has
much more impact on national averages than fluctuating home
prices in Alaska and Wyoming. It's not all about geography.
While foreclosure sales obviously depress the price of homes
nearby, they also affect prices by limiting new home sales, which
typically help drive home prices up. But foreclosure sales are
only one of the factors behind falling home prices. Weak demand
is probably the biggest driver.'
And I contend that weak demand is driven by several factors, not
the least of which are credit and confidence. The banks are
looking at their overall book of business and the losses they're
still taking; the losses are concentrated in those states that
are continuing to suffer the most. Regardless, they spread that
pain nationwide in their lending standards, tightening up to the
point that many borrowers far far away from California can't get
a loan. Confidence, or lack thereof, is a bigger factor than we
often give it credit. Yes, the big bad media report all these
numbers, and yes, some of the worst of it is nowhere near where
you live, but you see and process it. It affects your confidence
and consequently how you act.
Housing demand is nowhere near where it should be, and the mix of
what is selling is all on the low end. Investors with cash and
first time home buyers are bargain hunting, and that pushes the
price average/median down in every market. As prices fall on real
sales, thousands of borrowers fall underwater on paper...on their
mortgages, and that puts them at higher risk of foreclosure.
'Residential home sales fell by 18% in Q1 2011 compared to Q4
2010 and by almost 32% from Q1 2010,' notes Sharga. Foreclosures
and distressed sales, even if they're not in your back yard or in
your state, affect your home's value because they affect the
overall demand for your home."
Thursday, February 24, 2011
MBA - foreclosures up delinquencies down
The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties decreased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 8.22% of all loans outstanding as of the end of the fourth quarter of 2010, a decrease of 91 basis points from the third quarter of 2010, and a decrease of 125 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) National Delinquency Survey. The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate decreased 46 basis points to 8.93% this quarter from 9.39% last quarter. The percentage of loans on which foreclosure actions were started during the fourth quarter was 1.27%, down seven basis points from last quarter and up seven basis points from one year ago. The delinquency rate includes loans that are at least one payment past due but does not include loans in the process of foreclosure.
The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process at the end of the fourth quarter was 4.63%, up 24 basis points from the third quarter of 2010 and up five basis points from one year ago. The serious delinquency rate, the percentage of loans that are 90 days or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, was 8.57%, a decrease of 13 basis points from last quarter, and a decrease of 110 basis points from the fourth quarter of last year. The combined percentage of loans in foreclosure or at least one payment past due was 13.56% on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, a 22 basis point decline from 13.78% last quarter.
Jay Brinkmann, MBA's chief economist said "These latest delinquency numbers represent significant, across the board decreases in mortgage delinquency rates in the US. Total delinquencies, which exclude loans in the process of foreclosure, are now at their lowest level since the end of 2008. Mortgages only one payment past due are now at the lowest level since the end of 2007, the very beginning of the recession. Perhaps most importantly, loans three payments (90 days) or more past due have fallen from an all-time high delinquency rate of 5.02% at the end of the first quarter of 2010 to 3.63% at the end of the fourth quarter of 2010, a drop of 139 basis points or almost 28% over the course of the year. Every state but two saw a drop in the 90-plus day delinquency rate and the two increases were negligible."
"While delinquency and foreclosure rates are still well above historical norms, we have clearly turned the corner. Despite continued high levels of unemployment, the economy did add over 1.2 million private sector jobs during 2010 and, after remaining stubbornly high during the first half of 2010, first time claims for unemployment insurance fell during the second half of the year. Absent a significant economic reversal, the delinquency picture should continue to improve during 2011, Brinkmann said.
Mike Fratantoni, MBA's vice president for single family research said "While the foreclosure starts rate fell during the fourth quarter, the percentage of loans in foreclosure rose to equal the all-time high. The foreclosure inventory rate captures loans from the point of the foreclosure referral to exit from the foreclosure process, either through a cure (perhaps through a modification), a short sale or deed in lieu, or through a foreclosure sale. As we predicted last quarter, the percentage of loans in the foreclosure process increased in the fourth quarter, largely due to the foreclosure paperwork issues that were being addressed in September and October. These issues caused a temporary halt in foreclosure sales, particularly in states with judicial foreclosure regimes, such as New Jersey, Florida, and Illinois.
With fewer loans exiting the foreclosure process through sales, the foreclosure inventory rate naturally increased, even as fewer foreclosure starts meant that fewer loans entered the foreclosure process in the fourth quarter." "The share of loans in foreclosure in California and Florida combined was 36.0%, a decrease from 37.3% in the third quarter, and 39.3% a year ago. Over 24% of the loans in Florida are one payment or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, the highest rate in the nation, followed by Nevada at over 22%, compared to an average of 13.6% for the nation. Only eleven states saw an increase in their foreclosure start rate with Maryland seeing the largest increase."
The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process at the end of the fourth quarter was 4.63%, up 24 basis points from the third quarter of 2010 and up five basis points from one year ago. The serious delinquency rate, the percentage of loans that are 90 days or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, was 8.57%, a decrease of 13 basis points from last quarter, and a decrease of 110 basis points from the fourth quarter of last year. The combined percentage of loans in foreclosure or at least one payment past due was 13.56% on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, a 22 basis point decline from 13.78% last quarter.
Jay Brinkmann, MBA's chief economist said "These latest delinquency numbers represent significant, across the board decreases in mortgage delinquency rates in the US. Total delinquencies, which exclude loans in the process of foreclosure, are now at their lowest level since the end of 2008. Mortgages only one payment past due are now at the lowest level since the end of 2007, the very beginning of the recession. Perhaps most importantly, loans three payments (90 days) or more past due have fallen from an all-time high delinquency rate of 5.02% at the end of the first quarter of 2010 to 3.63% at the end of the fourth quarter of 2010, a drop of 139 basis points or almost 28% over the course of the year. Every state but two saw a drop in the 90-plus day delinquency rate and the two increases were negligible."
"While delinquency and foreclosure rates are still well above historical norms, we have clearly turned the corner. Despite continued high levels of unemployment, the economy did add over 1.2 million private sector jobs during 2010 and, after remaining stubbornly high during the first half of 2010, first time claims for unemployment insurance fell during the second half of the year. Absent a significant economic reversal, the delinquency picture should continue to improve during 2011, Brinkmann said.
Mike Fratantoni, MBA's vice president for single family research said "While the foreclosure starts rate fell during the fourth quarter, the percentage of loans in foreclosure rose to equal the all-time high. The foreclosure inventory rate captures loans from the point of the foreclosure referral to exit from the foreclosure process, either through a cure (perhaps through a modification), a short sale or deed in lieu, or through a foreclosure sale. As we predicted last quarter, the percentage of loans in the foreclosure process increased in the fourth quarter, largely due to the foreclosure paperwork issues that were being addressed in September and October. These issues caused a temporary halt in foreclosure sales, particularly in states with judicial foreclosure regimes, such as New Jersey, Florida, and Illinois.
With fewer loans exiting the foreclosure process through sales, the foreclosure inventory rate naturally increased, even as fewer foreclosure starts meant that fewer loans entered the foreclosure process in the fourth quarter." "The share of loans in foreclosure in California and Florida combined was 36.0%, a decrease from 37.3% in the third quarter, and 39.3% a year ago. Over 24% of the loans in Florida are one payment or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, the highest rate in the nation, followed by Nevada at over 22%, compared to an average of 13.6% for the nation. Only eleven states saw an increase in their foreclosure start rate with Maryland seeing the largest increase."
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
President tries to curb mortgage interest rate deduction
The president proposed in his budget to curtail high-income earners' tax deduction for mortgage interest payments and charitable contributions. Under his proposal, taxpayers in the 33% and 35% tax brackets would only be able to deduct their contributions and mortgage interest payments at the 28% rate. It would affect those with taxable income of $250,000 and up and bring in $321 billion over 10 years, according to the White House. The Obama administration, as well as several tax and deficit commissions, have called for limiting or eliminating the deductions in the past. But the proposals have gone nowhere and the same outcome is expected this year. Still, the real estate industry and non-profit sector are not taking any chances. They are making it clear to both Congress and the White House that they strongly oppose any limits to the deductions.
The industry is concerned that capping the deduction will hurt the housing market, which continues to stumble. The tax break makes homeownership more affordable, they argue. This is the second time in recent months that the Obama administration has recommended curtailing the deduction, which costs the Treasury Department an estimated $131 billion a year. In December, a presidential debt panel recommended turning the itemized deduction in to a 12% non-refundable tax credit available to everyone. It would also cut the size of eligible mortgages in half to up to $500,000. "NAR will remain vigilant in opposing any plan that modifies or excludes the deductibility of mortgage interest," National Association of Realtors President Ron Phipps said at the time.
The industry is concerned that capping the deduction will hurt the housing market, which continues to stumble. The tax break makes homeownership more affordable, they argue. This is the second time in recent months that the Obama administration has recommended curtailing the deduction, which costs the Treasury Department an estimated $131 billion a year. In December, a presidential debt panel recommended turning the itemized deduction in to a 12% non-refundable tax credit available to everyone. It would also cut the size of eligible mortgages in half to up to $500,000. "NAR will remain vigilant in opposing any plan that modifies or excludes the deductibility of mortgage interest," National Association of Realtors President Ron Phipps said at the time.
Friday, February 11, 2011
NAR - GSE's should maintain public involvement
According to the National Association of Realtors’ recommendations for restructuring the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), continued government participation in the secondary mortgage market is essential to ensuring affordable and available home mortgages to qualified consumers when private lenders withdraw from the market. NAR’s recommended plan is to restructure the entities as government-chartered, non-shareholder owned authorities that protect taxpayers and ensure continued access to affordable mortgages for consumers who are willing and able to assume the responsibilities of the American Dream of home ownership. NAR believes the previous structure of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac with private profits and taxpayer loss must never recur; however, without some level of government backing of the most basic, simple mortgages – such as the 30-year fixed rate product – interest rates and mortgage fees will be notably higher for consumers and could severely restric
t access to credit, especially during down or disruptive markets. The recent economic downturn, for example, caused private capital to flee the marketplace; government backing of residential mortgages was critical in providing capital to borrowers and without their support the financial crisis could have been far worse.
NAR encourages private market solutions and innovations such as covered bonds for less traditional mortgages. However, a full privatization across all mortgage products will inevitably put taxpayers at risk. Given the very high concentration in the banking industry, the market will be vulnerable to tacit collusion and too-big-to-fail mistakes. The restructured GSEs under NAR’s plan would guarantee or ensure a wide range of safe, reliable mortgage products such as 15- and 30-year fixed rate loans. Sound and sensible loan underwriting standards would need to be established. NAR’s plan would require the entities to be fully self-financing and subject to tight regulations on product, revenue generation and usage in a way that ensures they can accomplish their mission and protect taxpayer dollars.
t access to credit, especially during down or disruptive markets. The recent economic downturn, for example, caused private capital to flee the marketplace; government backing of residential mortgages was critical in providing capital to borrowers and without their support the financial crisis could have been far worse.
NAR encourages private market solutions and innovations such as covered bonds for less traditional mortgages. However, a full privatization across all mortgage products will inevitably put taxpayers at risk. Given the very high concentration in the banking industry, the market will be vulnerable to tacit collusion and too-big-to-fail mistakes. The restructured GSEs under NAR’s plan would guarantee or ensure a wide range of safe, reliable mortgage products such as 15- and 30-year fixed rate loans. Sound and sensible loan underwriting standards would need to be established. NAR’s plan would require the entities to be fully self-financing and subject to tight regulations on product, revenue generation and usage in a way that ensures they can accomplish their mission and protect taxpayer dollars.
US Postal Service in trouble
US Postal Service in trouble
The US Postal Service (USPS), a self-supporting government agency that receives no tax dollars, said it suffered a loss of $329 million in the first quarter of federal fiscal year 2011. That compared with a loss of $297 million a year earlier. The agency has been suffering from an ongoing decline in mail volume, which has undercut revenues, while retiree health care costs have been straining its reserves. Excluding costs related to retiree benefits and adjustments to workers' compensation liability, the Postal Service said it had net income was $226 million in the first quarter, which ended Dec. 31. The agency said it will be forced to default on some of its financial obligations this year unless Congress changes a 2006 law requiring it to pay between $5.4 and $5.8 billion into its prepaid retiree health benefits each year. The Postal Service has taken a number of steps to increase revenue, including marketing initiatives and price increases. The agency raised rates an av
erage of 3.6% in January.
It is also perusing more dramatic changes. Last year, the USPS submitted a request to the Postal Regulatory Commission, which oversees the agency, to eliminate Saturday mail service. The commission has yet to respond to the request, but a spokesman said it is in the "final phase" of making its decision. The USPS has also cut back on hours to save money. The agency expects to eliminate 40 million work hours this fiscal year as part of a plan to save $2 billion. However, the service is currently negotiating new contracts with the American Postal Workers Union and the National Rural Letter Carriers Association, which will probably object to cutting hours. On the bright side, the Postal Service said improving economic conditions suggest the "worst of the precipitous volume decline during the recession is over." But mail volume continues to be anemic, rising only 1.5% in the first quarter as economic growth remains sluggish.
The US Postal Service (USPS), a self-supporting government agency that receives no tax dollars, said it suffered a loss of $329 million in the first quarter of federal fiscal year 2011. That compared with a loss of $297 million a year earlier. The agency has been suffering from an ongoing decline in mail volume, which has undercut revenues, while retiree health care costs have been straining its reserves. Excluding costs related to retiree benefits and adjustments to workers' compensation liability, the Postal Service said it had net income was $226 million in the first quarter, which ended Dec. 31. The agency said it will be forced to default on some of its financial obligations this year unless Congress changes a 2006 law requiring it to pay between $5.4 and $5.8 billion into its prepaid retiree health benefits each year. The Postal Service has taken a number of steps to increase revenue, including marketing initiatives and price increases. The agency raised rates an av
erage of 3.6% in January.
It is also perusing more dramatic changes. Last year, the USPS submitted a request to the Postal Regulatory Commission, which oversees the agency, to eliminate Saturday mail service. The commission has yet to respond to the request, but a spokesman said it is in the "final phase" of making its decision. The USPS has also cut back on hours to save money. The agency expects to eliminate 40 million work hours this fiscal year as part of a plan to save $2 billion. However, the service is currently negotiating new contracts with the American Postal Workers Union and the National Rural Letter Carriers Association, which will probably object to cutting hours. On the bright side, the Postal Service said improving economic conditions suggest the "worst of the precipitous volume decline during the recession is over." But mail volume continues to be anemic, rising only 1.5% in the first quarter as economic growth remains sluggish.
Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Orlando homes sales increase as affordability hits all-time high
September 10, 2010 – Orlando, FL) Members of the Orlando Regional REALTOR® Association reported completed sales on 2,429 homes in August, which is a 10.91 percent increase over the August 2009 mark of 2,109. To date, Orlando area home sales are up 36.12 percent over this time in 2009.
“As expected, sales have been softer following the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit,” explains ORRA Chairman of the Board Kathleen Gallagher McIver, RE/MAX Town & Country Realty. “However, since May, the number of new contracts has continued to climb as consumers take advantage of record-low mortgage rates and historically high housing affordability.”
The number of new contracts filed in August 2010 (3,892) represents an increase of 17.09 percent more than were filed in August 2009 (3,324). The area’s pending sales statistic — also an indicator of future sales activity – is likewise remaining at a record high with 8.60 percent more homes (8,945) under contract and awaiting closing in August of this year than in August of last year (8,237).
The median price of all existing homes combined sold in August 2010 decreased 21.95 percent to $99,900 from the $128,000 recorded in August 2009. August 2010’s median price is a decrease of 8.10 percent compared to July 2010’s median of $108,700.
“With foreclosures and short sales dominating the market, the median price continues to be lowered,” says Gallagher McIver. “Plus, the rise in popularity of lower-priced condominiums has put additional downward pressure on prices.” Gallagher McIver adds that one in four home sales during the month of August was a condo sale, and the median price for all August condo sales was $44,000.
The median price for “normal” sales is $165,900 (down 5.20 percent from last month’s $175,000). The median price for bank-owned sales is $70,000 (down 2.78 percent from last month’s $72,000), and the median price for short sales is $100,000 (down from last month’s $116,000).
Of the 2,429 sales in August, 691 “normal” sales accounted for 28.45 percent of all sales, while 1,187 bank-owned and 551 short sales made up 71.55 percent.
The Orlando affordability index increased to 270.30 percent in August. (An affordability index of 99 percent means that buyers earning the state-reported median income are 1 percent short of the income necessary to purchase a median-priced home. Conversely, an affordability index that is over 100 means that median-income earners make more than is necessary to qualify for a median-priced home.) Buyers who earn the reported median income of $53,219 can qualify to purchase one of 9,932 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $270,031 or less.
First-time homebuyer affordability in August increased to 192.21 percent. First-time buyers who earn the reported median income of $36,189 can qualify to purchase one of 6,885 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $163,219 or less.
Homes of all types spent an average of 84 days on the market before coming under contract in August 2010, and the average home sold for 95.04 percent of its listing price. In August 2009 those numbers were 94 and 94.44 percent, respectively. The area’s average interest rate decreased in August to 4.61 percent.
Inventory
There are currently 16,535 homes available for purchase through the MLS. Inventory decreased by 28 homes from July 2010, which means that 28 more homes exited the market than entered the market. The August 2010 inventory level is 1.06 percent higher than it was in August 2009 (16,361). The current pace of sales translates into 6.81 months of supply; August 2009 recorded 7.47 months of supply.
There are 12,769 single-family homes currently listed in the MLS, a number that is 859 (7.21 percent) more than in August of last year. Condos currently make up 2,342 offerings in the MLS, while duplexes/town homes/villas make up the remaining 1,424.
Condos and Town Homes/Duplexes/Villas
August when compared to August of 2009 and increased by 5.89 percent compared to July of this year. To date, condo sales are up 74.09 percent (4,596 condos sold to date in 2010, compared to 2,640 by this time in 2009).
The most (361) condos in a single price category that changed hands in August were yet again in the $1 - $50,000 price range, which accounted for 57.39 percent of all condo sales.
Orlando homebuyers purchased 208 duplexes, town homes, and villas in August 2010, which is a 1.96 percent increase from August 2009 when 204 of these alternative housing types were purchased.
“As expected, sales have been softer following the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit,” explains ORRA Chairman of the Board Kathleen Gallagher McIver, RE/MAX Town & Country Realty. “However, since May, the number of new contracts has continued to climb as consumers take advantage of record-low mortgage rates and historically high housing affordability.”
The number of new contracts filed in August 2010 (3,892) represents an increase of 17.09 percent more than were filed in August 2009 (3,324). The area’s pending sales statistic — also an indicator of future sales activity – is likewise remaining at a record high with 8.60 percent more homes (8,945) under contract and awaiting closing in August of this year than in August of last year (8,237).
The median price of all existing homes combined sold in August 2010 decreased 21.95 percent to $99,900 from the $128,000 recorded in August 2009. August 2010’s median price is a decrease of 8.10 percent compared to July 2010’s median of $108,700.
“With foreclosures and short sales dominating the market, the median price continues to be lowered,” says Gallagher McIver. “Plus, the rise in popularity of lower-priced condominiums has put additional downward pressure on prices.” Gallagher McIver adds that one in four home sales during the month of August was a condo sale, and the median price for all August condo sales was $44,000.
The median price for “normal” sales is $165,900 (down 5.20 percent from last month’s $175,000). The median price for bank-owned sales is $70,000 (down 2.78 percent from last month’s $72,000), and the median price for short sales is $100,000 (down from last month’s $116,000).
Of the 2,429 sales in August, 691 “normal” sales accounted for 28.45 percent of all sales, while 1,187 bank-owned and 551 short sales made up 71.55 percent.
The Orlando affordability index increased to 270.30 percent in August. (An affordability index of 99 percent means that buyers earning the state-reported median income are 1 percent short of the income necessary to purchase a median-priced home. Conversely, an affordability index that is over 100 means that median-income earners make more than is necessary to qualify for a median-priced home.) Buyers who earn the reported median income of $53,219 can qualify to purchase one of 9,932 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $270,031 or less.
First-time homebuyer affordability in August increased to 192.21 percent. First-time buyers who earn the reported median income of $36,189 can qualify to purchase one of 6,885 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $163,219 or less.
Homes of all types spent an average of 84 days on the market before coming under contract in August 2010, and the average home sold for 95.04 percent of its listing price. In August 2009 those numbers were 94 and 94.44 percent, respectively. The area’s average interest rate decreased in August to 4.61 percent.
Inventory
There are currently 16,535 homes available for purchase through the MLS. Inventory decreased by 28 homes from July 2010, which means that 28 more homes exited the market than entered the market. The August 2010 inventory level is 1.06 percent higher than it was in August 2009 (16,361). The current pace of sales translates into 6.81 months of supply; August 2009 recorded 7.47 months of supply.
There are 12,769 single-family homes currently listed in the MLS, a number that is 859 (7.21 percent) more than in August of last year. Condos currently make up 2,342 offerings in the MLS, while duplexes/town homes/villas make up the remaining 1,424.
Condos and Town Homes/Duplexes/Villas
August when compared to August of 2009 and increased by 5.89 percent compared to July of this year. To date, condo sales are up 74.09 percent (4,596 condos sold to date in 2010, compared to 2,640 by this time in 2009).
The most (361) condos in a single price category that changed hands in August were yet again in the $1 - $50,000 price range, which accounted for 57.39 percent of all condo sales.
Orlando homebuyers purchased 208 duplexes, town homes, and villas in August 2010, which is a 1.96 percent increase from August 2009 when 204 of these alternative housing types were purchased.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)