Friday, November 11, 2011
Views-Reviews and Real Estate News: shame on the GOP candidates
Views-Reviews and Real Estate News: shame on the GOP candidates: shame on the GOP candidates "Shame on the Republican candidates for president. Shame on them for showing up at debate specifically targetin...
shame on the GOP candidates
shame on the GOP candidates
"Shame on the Republican candidates for president. Shame on them for showing up at debate specifically targeting the US economy with not one credible, rational, even reputable notion of what to do about the nation's housing mess. It baffles the mind that this sector of the economy, responsible for about 18 percent of the nation's gross domestic product, is in freefall, and yet eight potential new leaders of this nation not only don't understand the problem but don't have a clue what to do about it. My favorite, and I write this with as much sarcasm as a computer keyboard will afford, is the argument that the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill is to blame for housing's current despair. Foreclosures, falling home prices, negative equity, nil consumer confidence, record low home building...yep, gotta be Dodd-Frank. 'If the Republican House next week would repeal Dodd-Frank and allow us to put pressure on the Senate to repeal Dodd-Frank, you would see the housing market start to improve overnight,' Speaker Newt Gingrich told the crowd in Michigan last night. His reasoning is that, 'It kills small banks, it kills small business.'
Increased regulation has certainly made the life of a banker today tougher, but the fact that there was zero regulation ten years ago allowed and encouraged reckless behavior on Wall Street. It created the supremely negligent subprime mortgage
trading bonanza that brought down big banks, little banks and homeowners alike...and threatened to take down the entire US economy. Were we to do nothing to change that? And Mr. Gingrich, if I may, how would repealing Dodd-Frank suddenly help the 4 million borrowers behind on their mortgages today and the 2.2 million in the foreclosure process today keep their homes? How would it put a bottom on home prices? Do you honestly believe that it would suddenly open the mortgage markets wide, allow banks to somehow fix all the troubled loans on their books and fuel a gigantic lending spree that would ignite home buying and selling again like the good old days? Is that even what we want? Let me just finish with Mr. Gingrich's last note, 'The banks are actually profiting more by foreclosing than encouraging short sales.' That's just flat out wrong.
To begin with what bank has ever profited from a foreclosure OR a short sale? Industry sources tell me that a short sale nets the bank on average 20 percent more than a foreclosure. Short sales speed up the time frame for disposal of the property as well, as foreclosures can take years to process. During that time, foreclosed borrowers can destroy the property, flushing cement down the toilet and stealing everything in the home that is and isn't nailed down. In a short sale, the homeowner lives in the home until the deal is done, and because they are not getting a huge hit to their credit and being kicked out by a sheriff's deputy, they generally don't destroy the house. In a short sale, the bank knows exactly what it's getting, unlike in a foreclosure when the bank has to take back the house in some unknown condition, market it and re-sell it at an unknown distressed price. 'Nuff said.
My second favorite argument is that it's all Fannie and Freddie's fault, and if we take them down, housing comes back in a flash. 'For these geniuses to give 10 of their top executives bonuses at $12 million and then have the guts to come to the American people and say, 'Give us another $13 billion to bail us out just for the quarter,' that's lunacy,' Rep. Michelle Bachmann argued on CNBC last night. 'We need to put them back into bankruptcy and get them out of business. They're destroying the housing market.' No question, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are bleeding money, costing the taxpayers billions already and potentially billions more in the near future. Something needs to be done to change that, but 'bankrupting' Fannie and Freddie would take down the US economy as we know it, and it boggles the mind that a person running for president wouldn't understand that. She in fact noted that Fannie and Freddie support the bulk of the mortgage market. That's true. Without them there would be no lending. Does she think the private market would just come running back in and give the nation's beleaguered borrowers 3.99 percent 30-year fixed across the board? Only Herman Cain seemed to get that. He argued that we need to fix unemployment first with his various proposals. 'Okay. After I did those three things that I outlined, then deal with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. You don't start solving a problem right in the middle of it. So we've got to do that first,' he reasoned.
Fixing unemployment was the only housing plan the candidates could offer. When CNBC's Maria Bartiromo asked Governor Mitt Romney, 'Not one of your 59 points in your economic plan mentions or addresses housing. Can you tell us why?' He responded, 'Yes, because it's not a housing plan. It's a jobs plan.' I don't love that answer, but at least I can respect it. 'Our friends in Washington today, they say, 'Oh, if we've got a problem in housing, let's let government play a bigger role.' That's the wrong way to go. Let markets work. Help people get back to work. Let them buy homes. You'll see home prices come back up if we allow this market to work,' argued Romney. There are plenty of analysts who agree that the market needs to work itself out, as painful as that may be to average Americans, many of whom are in line to lose their homes. Until the foreclosure mess runs its course, and all those homes are filled with borrowers who can afford them, home prices will not recover, plain and simple, goes the argument. I'm not saying here that the Obama Administration has done anything particular stellar to stimulate a housing recovery. A small refinance program for underwater borrowers isn't the cure-all, and forcing banks to write down mortgage principal is not politically nor technically feasible. But without some plan, this crisis could go on for a decade, like it did in Japan, as President Clinton noted recently in an interview. I'm not saying I have the answer, the great plan to fix our nation's housing crisis. But I'm not running for president."
"Shame on the Republican candidates for president. Shame on them for showing up at debate specifically targeting the US economy with not one credible, rational, even reputable notion of what to do about the nation's housing mess. It baffles the mind that this sector of the economy, responsible for about 18 percent of the nation's gross domestic product, is in freefall, and yet eight potential new leaders of this nation not only don't understand the problem but don't have a clue what to do about it. My favorite, and I write this with as much sarcasm as a computer keyboard will afford, is the argument that the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill is to blame for housing's current despair. Foreclosures, falling home prices, negative equity, nil consumer confidence, record low home building...yep, gotta be Dodd-Frank. 'If the Republican House next week would repeal Dodd-Frank and allow us to put pressure on the Senate to repeal Dodd-Frank, you would see the housing market start to improve overnight,' Speaker Newt Gingrich told the crowd in Michigan last night. His reasoning is that, 'It kills small banks, it kills small business.'
Increased regulation has certainly made the life of a banker today tougher, but the fact that there was zero regulation ten years ago allowed and encouraged reckless behavior on Wall Street. It created the supremely negligent subprime mortgage
trading bonanza that brought down big banks, little banks and homeowners alike...and threatened to take down the entire US economy. Were we to do nothing to change that? And Mr. Gingrich, if I may, how would repealing Dodd-Frank suddenly help the 4 million borrowers behind on their mortgages today and the 2.2 million in the foreclosure process today keep their homes? How would it put a bottom on home prices? Do you honestly believe that it would suddenly open the mortgage markets wide, allow banks to somehow fix all the troubled loans on their books and fuel a gigantic lending spree that would ignite home buying and selling again like the good old days? Is that even what we want? Let me just finish with Mr. Gingrich's last note, 'The banks are actually profiting more by foreclosing than encouraging short sales.' That's just flat out wrong.
To begin with what bank has ever profited from a foreclosure OR a short sale? Industry sources tell me that a short sale nets the bank on average 20 percent more than a foreclosure. Short sales speed up the time frame for disposal of the property as well, as foreclosures can take years to process. During that time, foreclosed borrowers can destroy the property, flushing cement down the toilet and stealing everything in the home that is and isn't nailed down. In a short sale, the homeowner lives in the home until the deal is done, and because they are not getting a huge hit to their credit and being kicked out by a sheriff's deputy, they generally don't destroy the house. In a short sale, the bank knows exactly what it's getting, unlike in a foreclosure when the bank has to take back the house in some unknown condition, market it and re-sell it at an unknown distressed price. 'Nuff said.
My second favorite argument is that it's all Fannie and Freddie's fault, and if we take them down, housing comes back in a flash. 'For these geniuses to give 10 of their top executives bonuses at $12 million and then have the guts to come to the American people and say, 'Give us another $13 billion to bail us out just for the quarter,' that's lunacy,' Rep. Michelle Bachmann argued on CNBC last night. 'We need to put them back into bankruptcy and get them out of business. They're destroying the housing market.' No question, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are bleeding money, costing the taxpayers billions already and potentially billions more in the near future. Something needs to be done to change that, but 'bankrupting' Fannie and Freddie would take down the US economy as we know it, and it boggles the mind that a person running for president wouldn't understand that. She in fact noted that Fannie and Freddie support the bulk of the mortgage market. That's true. Without them there would be no lending. Does she think the private market would just come running back in and give the nation's beleaguered borrowers 3.99 percent 30-year fixed across the board? Only Herman Cain seemed to get that. He argued that we need to fix unemployment first with his various proposals. 'Okay. After I did those three things that I outlined, then deal with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. You don't start solving a problem right in the middle of it. So we've got to do that first,' he reasoned.
Fixing unemployment was the only housing plan the candidates could offer. When CNBC's Maria Bartiromo asked Governor Mitt Romney, 'Not one of your 59 points in your economic plan mentions or addresses housing. Can you tell us why?' He responded, 'Yes, because it's not a housing plan. It's a jobs plan.' I don't love that answer, but at least I can respect it. 'Our friends in Washington today, they say, 'Oh, if we've got a problem in housing, let's let government play a bigger role.' That's the wrong way to go. Let markets work. Help people get back to work. Let them buy homes. You'll see home prices come back up if we allow this market to work,' argued Romney. There are plenty of analysts who agree that the market needs to work itself out, as painful as that may be to average Americans, many of whom are in line to lose their homes. Until the foreclosure mess runs its course, and all those homes are filled with borrowers who can afford them, home prices will not recover, plain and simple, goes the argument. I'm not saying here that the Obama Administration has done anything particular stellar to stimulate a housing recovery. A small refinance program for underwater borrowers isn't the cure-all, and forcing banks to write down mortgage principal is not politically nor technically feasible. But without some plan, this crisis could go on for a decade, like it did in Japan, as President Clinton noted recently in an interview. I'm not saying I have the answer, the great plan to fix our nation's housing crisis. But I'm not running for president."
Monday, November 7, 2011
New foreclosure plan
Big investors are showing interest in an evolving Obama administration plan to sell off foreclosed homes, although the government will have to make the offer sweet enough to coax private funds. The White House is assessing how best to encourage private companies and investors to snap up foreclosed properties held by the government and convert them into rentals. Officials want private partners to take over as much as $30 billion in single-family properties that are currently on the books of government-run Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration। Several money managers with large fixed income funds are interested, according to sources, and a request for ideas on how to construct a program received nearly 4,000 responses. The foreclosure conversion program would come as the next step to complement other government supports for housing, including an expanded refinance program announced on Monday.
The main question for prospective investors, which include broker-dealers and firms already overseeing similar rental programs, is the type of financing the government will make available—an issue officials are still struggling with. "In order to get a better bid, there has to be some incentive involved to get qualified investors involved," said Ron D'Vari, co-founder and chief executive of NewOak Capital. "The reality is not a lack of interest, but so far it looks like a lack of financing." Incentives could include low interest rates, tax benefits or some type of rental assistance, said D'Vari, a portfolio adviser who has been involved in mini-bulk auctions of real estate-owned properties, or REOs, in California. REO properties are those acquired by a lender, whether a bank or the government, after an unsuccessful auction attempt. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the FHA own about 250,000 properties, close to a third of the country's REO pool.
The main question for prospective investors, which include broker-dealers and firms already overseeing similar rental programs, is the type of financing the government will make available—an issue officials are still struggling with. "In order to get a better bid, there has to be some incentive involved to get qualified investors involved," said Ron D'Vari, co-founder and chief executive of NewOak Capital. "The reality is not a lack of interest, but so far it looks like a lack of financing." Incentives could include low interest rates, tax benefits or some type of rental assistance, said D'Vari, a portfolio adviser who has been involved in mini-bulk auctions of real estate-owned properties, or REOs, in California. REO properties are those acquired by a lender, whether a bank or the government, after an unsuccessful auction attempt. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the FHA own about 250,000 properties, close to a third of the country's REO pool.
One key challenge would be finding big enough blocks of properties in specific geographic areas that could be sold at one time. Analysts say this is what it would take to make the program attractive to large institutional investors. The transaction and liability costs property managers will face as they try to bring deserted units back up to code also pose a hurdle. The government also needs to determine how it will protect taxpayers, and it might explore ways to pair up with investors and allow Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and FHA to keep some type of an ownership stake in the rental properties. A public-private partnership, somewhat along the lines of a program the Treasury tried to use to soak up toxic bank assets during the financial crisis, would allow the government to gain from the sales. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the FHA have already undertaken some small efforts to reduce the backlog of foreclosed homes. They have donated a few vacant properties for demolition and have held some small auctions. Having already received $141 billion in taxpayer support since being seized by the government in 2008, Fannie Mae and Freddie are under enormous pressure to make sure they maximize the returns from the properties they hold. "This has got to be thought out. Fannie and Freddie would need to assess if they are getting the return they need from a rental," said Ken H. Johnson, a real estate professor at Florida International University. Johnson said one way to get over the hurdle would be for the two agencies to be given an explicit mission of market stabilization.
Monday, October 31, 2011
Views-Reviews and Real Estate News: A summer of modest economic growth is helping disp...
Views-Reviews and Real Estate News: A summer of modest economic growth is helping disp...: A summer of modest economic growth is helping dispel lingering fears that another recession might be near. Whether the strength can be susta...
A summer of modest economic growth is helping dispel lingering fears that another recession might be near. Whether the strength can be sustained is less certain. The economy grew at an annual rate of 2.5% in the July-September quarter, the Commerce Department said Thursday. But the growth was fueled by Americans who spent more while earning less and by businesses that invested in machines and computers, not workers. The expansion, the best quarterly growth in a year, came as a relief after anemic growth in the first half of the year, weeks of wild stock market shifts and the weakest consumer confidence since the height of the Great Recession. The economy would have to grow at nearly double the third-quarter pace to make a dent in the unemployment rate, which has stayed near 9% since the recession officially ended more than two years ago. For the more than 14 million Americans who are out of work and want a job, that's discouraging news. And for President Barack Obama and incumbent members of Congress, it means they'll be facing voters with unemployment near 9%. "It is still a very weak economy out there," said David Wyss, former chief economist at Standard & Poor's. For now, the report on US gross domestic product, or GDP, sketched a more optimistic picture for an economy that only two months ago seemed at risk of another recession.
Some economists doubt the economy can maintain its modest third-quarter pace. US lawmakers are debating deep cuts in federal spending next year that would drag on growth. And state and local governments have been slashing budgets for more than a year. Obama's $447 billion jobs plan was blocked by Republicans, meaning that a Social Security tax cut that put an extra $1,000 to $2,000 this year in most American's pockets could expire in January. So could extended unemployment benefits. They have been a key source of income for many people out of work for more than six months. Nor is the economy likely to get a lift from the depressed housing market. Typically, home construction drives growth during an economic recovery. But builders have been contributing much less to the economy this time. Wyss said that the collapse of housing had probably depressed annual growth by as much as 1.5 percentage points in the past two years. Paul Ashworth, chief US economist for Capital Economics, predicts that growth will cool in the fourth quarter and next year. "While our baseline forecast does not include an outright contraction, we expect GDP growth to average a very lackluster 1.5% next year," Ashworth said in a note to clients.
Some economists doubt the economy can maintain its modest third-quarter pace. US lawmakers are debating deep cuts in federal spending next year that would drag on growth. And state and local governments have been slashing budgets for more than a year. Obama's $447 billion jobs plan was blocked by Republicans, meaning that a Social Security tax cut that put an extra $1,000 to $2,000 this year in most American's pockets could expire in January. So could extended unemployment benefits. They have been a key source of income for many people out of work for more than six months. Nor is the economy likely to get a lift from the depressed housing market. Typically, home construction drives growth during an economic recovery. But builders have been contributing much less to the economy this time. Wyss said that the collapse of housing had probably depressed annual growth by as much as 1.5 percentage points in the past two years. Paul Ashworth, chief US economist for Capital Economics, predicts that growth will cool in the fourth quarter and next year. "While our baseline forecast does not include an outright contraction, we expect GDP growth to average a very lackluster 1.5% next year," Ashworth said in a note to clients.
Friday, October 7, 2011
Surprise! Dodd Frank cost passed on to consumers
Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan defended the bank's decision to impose a $5 debit card fee on customers next year, saying it was needed, in part, to recoup billions of dollars in costs from complying with Dodd-Frank law. "I have an inherent duty as a CEO of a publicly held company to get a return for my shareholders," he said at the Aspen Institute in Washington. "At the same time, I have an inherent duty to do a great job for my customers." He wouldn't say if other Bank of America fees would be raised. He said the bank — the nation's largest mortgage lender through its purchase of Countrywide Financial — is trying to work through the backlog of its mortgage foreclosures and "find a resolution" with the state attorneys general suing Bank of America and other banks over their mortgage practices.
Thursday, October 6, 2011
housing should be the priority
National Association of Realtors (NAR) President Ron Phipps spoke at the New Solutions for America’s Housing Crisis forum, where he joined a panel of experts to discuss solutions for addressing the country’s housing and economic challenges. The event was hosted by Economic Policies for the 21st Century and the Progressive Policy Institute. “As the leading advocate for homeownership, Realtors® know that issues like affordable financing, natural disaster insurance, the mortgage interest
deduction, and foreclosures and short sales don’t just affect people who own a home – homeownership shapes communities and strengthens the nation’s economy,” said Phipps, broker-president of Phipps Realty in Warwick, R.I. “America needs strong public policies that promote responsible, sustainable homeownership and that will help stabilize the nation’s housing market to support an economic recovery.” Phipps said that housing is not recovering at the rate it should be and called on legislators and regulators to do no harm. He said that proposed legislation and regulatory rules or changes to homeownership tax benefits need to help America out of today’s economic struggles and not further harm consumer confidence or exacerbate problems within the fragile real estate industry.
Overly stringent standards and lower mortgage loan limits are preventing qualified borrowers from getting loans, and Phipps called on lenders and regulators to reduce the overcorrection in underwriting standards for mortgages. He urged support for
policies that ensure qualified borrowers can obtain safe and sound mortgages in all markets at all times and encourage sound lending without high downpayment requirements. “Realtors® support strong underwriting, but too-stringent standards are curtailing the ability of creditworthy consumers from obtaining mortgages to purchase a home, and that’s impacting the recovery,” said Phipps. “Making mortgages available to creditworthy home buyers and streamlining loan modifications and short sales will help stabilize and revitalize the housing industry and reduce the rising inventory of foreclosed homes.” Phipps recommended that political and industry leaders work together to help reshape real estate and put the country BOAk on the right track. “Our goal is to help ensure that anyone in this country who aspires to own their own home and can afford to do so is not denied the opportunity to build their future through homeownership,” Phipps said.
deduction, and foreclosures and short sales don’t just affect people who own a home – homeownership shapes communities and strengthens the nation’s economy,” said Phipps, broker-president of Phipps Realty in Warwick, R.I. “America needs strong public policies that promote responsible, sustainable homeownership and that will help stabilize the nation’s housing market to support an economic recovery.” Phipps said that housing is not recovering at the rate it should be and called on legislators and regulators to do no harm. He said that proposed legislation and regulatory rules or changes to homeownership tax benefits need to help America out of today’s economic struggles and not further harm consumer confidence or exacerbate problems within the fragile real estate industry.
Overly stringent standards and lower mortgage loan limits are preventing qualified borrowers from getting loans, and Phipps called on lenders and regulators to reduce the overcorrection in underwriting standards for mortgages. He urged support for
policies that ensure qualified borrowers can obtain safe and sound mortgages in all markets at all times and encourage sound lending without high downpayment requirements. “Realtors® support strong underwriting, but too-stringent standards are curtailing the ability of creditworthy consumers from obtaining mortgages to purchase a home, and that’s impacting the recovery,” said Phipps. “Making mortgages available to creditworthy home buyers and streamlining loan modifications and short sales will help stabilize and revitalize the housing industry and reduce the rising inventory of foreclosed homes.” Phipps recommended that political and industry leaders work together to help reshape real estate and put the country BOAk on the right track. “Our goal is to help ensure that anyone in this country who aspires to own their own home and can afford to do so is not denied the opportunity to build their future through homeownership,” Phipps said.
Tuesday, October 4, 2011
Views-Reviews and Real Estate News: California pulls out of foreclosure talksThe sta...
Views-Reviews and Real Estate News: California pulls out of foreclosure talks
The sta...: California pulls out of foreclosure talks The state of California pulled out of multi-state mortgage negotiations with large US banks, deal...
The sta...: California pulls out of foreclosure talks The state of California pulled out of multi-state mortgage negotiations with large US banks, deal...
California pulls out of foreclosure talks
The state of California pulled out of multi-state mortgage negotiations with large US banks, dealing a sharp blow to long-running efforts to secure a broad settlement over allegations of lending abuses. California Attorney General Kamala Harris wrote in a letter on Friday that she will pursue her own investigation. "California was being asked for a broader release of claims than we can accept and ... the relief contemplated would allow too few California homeowners to stay in their homes," Harris said in the letter to government officials leading the talks. New York had exited the talks in August over a disagreement about how much legal immunity the banks should receive in any settlement. Representatives of the banks met with Harris last week in an attempt to keep California on board. The state has faced some of the worst default rates in the country, with an unemployment rate of 12.1% and two million residents who owe more on their mortgage than their home is worth. Eight of the 10 hardest hit US cities in terms of foreclosure rates are in California, Harris said. State and federal officials have discussed penalties totaling roughly $20 billion from institutions that include Bank of America,
JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Citigroup.
The state of California pulled out of multi-state mortgage negotiations with large US banks, dealing a sharp blow to long-running efforts to secure a broad settlement over allegations of lending abuses. California Attorney General Kamala Harris wrote in a letter on Friday that she will pursue her own investigation. "California was being asked for a broader release of claims than we can accept and ... the relief contemplated would allow too few California homeowners to stay in their homes," Harris said in the letter to government officials leading the talks. New York had exited the talks in August over a disagreement about how much legal immunity the banks should receive in any settlement. Representatives of the banks met with Harris last week in an attempt to keep California on board. The state has faced some of the worst default rates in the country, with an unemployment rate of 12.1% and two million residents who owe more on their mortgage than their home is worth. Eight of the 10 hardest hit US cities in terms of foreclosure rates are in California, Harris said. State and federal officials have discussed penalties totaling roughly $20 billion from institutions that include Bank of America,
JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Citigroup.
Wednesday, September 21, 2011
IMF downgrades economic outlook
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has sharply downgraded its outlook for the US economy through 2012 because of weak growth and concern that Europe won't be able to solve its debt crisis. The international lending organization expects the US economy to grow just 1।5% this year and 1।8% in 2012. That's down from its June forecast of 2.5% in 2011 and 2.7% next year. The IMF has also lowered its outlook for the 17 countries that use the euro. It predicts 1.6% growth this year and 1.1% next year, down from its June projections of 2% and 1.7%, respectively. The gloomier forecast for Europe is based on worries that Greece will default on its debt and destabilize the region. Overall, the IMF predicts global growth of 4% for both years. Stronger growth in China, India, Brazil and other developing countries should offset weaker output in the United States and Europe. The US economy grew at an annual rate of just 0.7% in the first six months of the year. And the US unemployment rate has stayed above 9% for all but two months since the recession officially ended two years to Financial turmoil and slow growth are feeding on each other in both the United States and Europe, IMF officials say. Europe's debt crisis is causing banks to reduce lending and hold onto cash. Sharp stock market drops in the United States over the summer have hurt consumer and business confidence and will likely reduce spending. That slows growth, which leads many investors to shift money out of stocks and into safer investments, such as Treasury bonds. In Europe, slower growth will make it harder for stressed nations to get their debt under control. US and European policymakers need to act more decisively to cut budget deficits, the IMF said. And European officials need to ensure that the region's banks have enough capital to withstand the debt crisis. The IMF said in its report that the US economy faces longer-lasting problems that go beyond high gas prices and disruptions caused by the Japan crisis. Employers are adding few jobs and giving out meager pay raises. Many homeowners owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth. Banks are keeping credit tight.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has sharply downgraded its outlook for the US economy through 2012 because of weak growth and concern that Europe won't be able to solve its debt crisis. The international lending organization expects the US economy to grow just 1।5% this year and 1।8% in 2012. That's down from its June forecast of 2.5% in 2011 and 2.7% next year. The IMF has also lowered its outlook for the 17 countries that use the euro. It predicts 1.6% growth this year and 1.1% next year, down from its June projections of 2% and 1.7%, respectively. The gloomier forecast for Europe is based on worries that Greece will default on its debt and destabilize the region. Overall, the IMF predicts global growth of 4% for both years. Stronger growth in China, India, Brazil and other developing countries should offset weaker output in the United States and Europe. The US economy grew at an annual rate of just 0.7% in the first six months of the year. And the US unemployment rate has stayed above 9% for all but two months since the recession officially ended two years to Financial turmoil and slow growth are feeding on each other in both the United States and Europe, IMF officials say. Europe's debt crisis is causing banks to reduce lending and hold onto cash. Sharp stock market drops in the United States over the summer have hurt consumer and business confidence and will likely reduce spending. That slows growth, which leads many investors to shift money out of stocks and into safer investments, such as Treasury bonds. In Europe, slower growth will make it harder for stressed nations to get their debt under control. US and European policymakers need to act more decisively to cut budget deficits, the IMF said. And European officials need to ensure that the region's banks have enough capital to withstand the debt crisis. The IMF said in its report that the US economy faces longer-lasting problems that go beyond high gas prices and disruptions caused by the Japan crisis. Employers are adding few jobs and giving out meager pay raises. Many homeowners owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth. Banks are keeping credit tight.
Monday, September 19, 2011
NAR urges more short sales
In a letter sent to the US Department of Housing and Urban
Development, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, and the US
Department of the Treasury, the National Association of Realtors
(NAR) responded to the agencies’ recent request for input and
offered its recommendations for selling REO properties held by
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration.
According to NAR, improving access to affordable mortgage
financing for qualified home buyers and investors and committing
additional resources to loan modifications and short sales will
help reduce current and future inventories of real estate owned
(REO) properties held by government agencies. NAR urged the
agencies to create an advisory board as they explore new options
for selling foreclosed properties to ensure that efficiently
disposing of agency REO properties will minimize taxpayer losses
and reduce the negative effects that distressed properties have
on local real estate markets.
To prevent further REO inventory increases, NAR also recommended
that the agencies take more aggressive steps to modify loans
and, when a family is absolutely unable keep their home, to
quickly approve reasonable short sale offers that allow families
to avoid foreclosure. Phipps said that while federal programs
have been put into place to help keep families in their homes,
many of these have fallen short of expectations, and advocated
that those resources be applied toward modifying loans and
expediting short sales, which are typically less costly than
foreclosure. “Loan modifications keep families in their home and
reduce defaults, while short sales keep homes occupied, helping
stabilize neighborhoods and home values,” Phipps said.
“Expanding resources and ensuring the use of already allocated
funds for pre-foreclosure efforts is the best opportunity to
reduce taxpayer costs and creates more positive outcomes for
homeowners and their communities.”
NAR is also concerned about proposals that include lease-to-own
elements. Phipps said that agency policies should first be
focused on keeping families in their homes through loan
modifications or short sales if that’s a better option, and that
the agencies should not expedite foreclosures so that those
properties could be included in a lease-to-own program. He added
that any lease-to-own programs should not be administered by the
government, but instead should include the participation of
local investors or nonprofits that can manage the specialized
needs and challenges of the local market.
In a letter sent to the US Department of Housing and Urban
Development, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, and the US
Department of the Treasury, the National Association of Realtors
(NAR) responded to the agencies’ recent request for input and
offered its recommendations for selling REO properties held by
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration.
According to NAR, improving access to affordable mortgage
financing for qualified home buyers and investors and committing
additional resources to loan modifications and short sales will
help reduce current and future inventories of real estate owned
(REO) properties held by government agencies. NAR urged the
agencies to create an advisory board as they explore new options
for selling foreclosed properties to ensure that efficiently
disposing of agency REO properties will minimize taxpayer losses
and reduce the negative effects that distressed properties have
on local real estate markets.
To prevent further REO inventory increases, NAR also recommended
that the agencies take more aggressive steps to modify loans
and, when a family is absolutely unable keep their home, to
quickly approve reasonable short sale offers that allow families
to avoid foreclosure. Phipps said that while federal programs
have been put into place to help keep families in their homes,
many of these have fallen short of expectations, and advocated
that those resources be applied toward modifying loans and
expediting short sales, which are typically less costly than
foreclosure. “Loan modifications keep families in their home and
reduce defaults, while short sales keep homes occupied, helping
stabilize neighborhoods and home values,” Phipps said.
“Expanding resources and ensuring the use of already allocated
funds for pre-foreclosure efforts is the best opportunity to
reduce taxpayer costs and creates more positive outcomes for
homeowners and their communities.”
NAR is also concerned about proposals that include lease-to-own
elements. Phipps said that agency policies should first be
focused on keeping families in their homes through loan
modifications or short sales if that’s a better option, and that
the agencies should not expedite foreclosures so that those
properties could be included in a lease-to-own program. He added
that any lease-to-own programs should not be administered by the
government, but instead should include the participation of
local investors or nonprofits that can manage the specialized
needs and challenges of the local market.
Thursday, September 15, 2011
new wave of foreclosures coming
"Bank of America is ramping up its foreclosure processing, sending out far more notices of default to borrowers in August than in previous months, well over 200% more month-to-month. A notice of default is the first stage of the foreclosure process in non-judicial foreclosures states, that is, where foreclosures do not go before a judge. The notice of default is usually sent when a borrower is 90 days or more overdue in payments, but that timeline has been extended significantly during this housing crisis, due to the so-called 'robo-signing' processing scandal and the sheer volume of troubled loans.
Mortgage and housing analyst and strategist Mark Hanson alerted me to unusually high legal default filing activity, and his research points to Bank of America as the primary driver. I contacted a Bank of America spokesman, who responded: 'It appears the numbers you noted to me this afternoon generally track with our own numbers for key categories. It should be noted it’s driven more in key states like California and Nevada than overall, and certainly the progress we’re seeing is limited to non-judicial states. Judicial states continue to move very slowly, with key states like New Jersey only beginning to start processing foreclosures again this month.'
The foreclosure numbers are down very slightly year-over-year, but only because August 2010 was one of the highest foreclosure months on record, and of course was just before the 'robo-signing' scandal was uncovered. Delays in processing have artificially lowered the foreclosure numbers over the past year, so this new surge is likely addressing loans that have been long delinquent, but unaddressed. In other words, the foreclosure pipeline is filling again. RealtyTrac, a widely followed foreclosure sale and data site, is also confirming a surge in overall notices of default in its August numbers, to be released later this week. They do not cite Bank of America specifically, which bought Countrywide Financial, taking on millions of troubled loans. 'We've been seeing REO [bank-owned property] sales, and processing of loans through foreclosure. This increase may simply be the lenders and servicers starting the next cycle. August traditionally is a high month for foreclosure actions, so part of the increase might be seasonal,' says RealtyTrac's Rick Sharga. 'Could be any number of reasons - but with 3.5 million delinquent loans, this had to happen sooner or later.'
The question of course is, is this a one month catch-up purge or will it continue at high levels for a while? And if the latter, will other banks follow suit quickly? Because if other banks see Bank of America pushing more loans to foreclosure, which will inevitably means more properties heading out for sale, they may want to get in before that glut of properties pushes prices down even further. 'This proves once again that 'credit' as measured by legal defaults and foreclosures is not necessarily about borrowers missing payments, rather about what the servicers chose to do about it,' notes Hanson."
Mortgage and housing analyst and strategist Mark Hanson alerted me to unusually high legal default filing activity, and his research points to Bank of America as the primary driver. I contacted a Bank of America spokesman, who responded: 'It appears the numbers you noted to me this afternoon generally track with our own numbers for key categories. It should be noted it’s driven more in key states like California and Nevada than overall, and certainly the progress we’re seeing is limited to non-judicial states. Judicial states continue to move very slowly, with key states like New Jersey only beginning to start processing foreclosures again this month.'
The foreclosure numbers are down very slightly year-over-year, but only because August 2010 was one of the highest foreclosure months on record, and of course was just before the 'robo-signing' scandal was uncovered. Delays in processing have artificially lowered the foreclosure numbers over the past year, so this new surge is likely addressing loans that have been long delinquent, but unaddressed. In other words, the foreclosure pipeline is filling again. RealtyTrac, a widely followed foreclosure sale and data site, is also confirming a surge in overall notices of default in its August numbers, to be released later this week. They do not cite Bank of America specifically, which bought Countrywide Financial, taking on millions of troubled loans. 'We've been seeing REO [bank-owned property] sales, and processing of loans through foreclosure. This increase may simply be the lenders and servicers starting the next cycle. August traditionally is a high month for foreclosure actions, so part of the increase might be seasonal,' says RealtyTrac's Rick Sharga. 'Could be any number of reasons - but with 3.5 million delinquent loans, this had to happen sooner or later.'
The question of course is, is this a one month catch-up purge or will it continue at high levels for a while? And if the latter, will other banks follow suit quickly? Because if other banks see Bank of America pushing more loans to foreclosure, which will inevitably means more properties heading out for sale, they may want to get in before that glut of properties pushes prices down even further. 'This proves once again that 'credit' as measured by legal defaults and foreclosures is not necessarily about borrowers missing payments, rather about what the servicers chose to do about it,' notes Hanson."
Wednesday, September 14, 2011
friction in Obama's refi proposal
"The response to President Obama's recent proposal to refinance more borrowers into lower interest rate mortgages was at best underwhelming and at worst scathing. The plan would expand the government's so-far disappointing, Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP), which helps current but underwater borrowers with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans to refinance. 'Mr. President, the housing market is the foundation of the US economy. It is cracked and chipping away,' writes Florida real estate consultant Jack McCabe in an editorial in the Herald-Tribune. 'The walls are beginning to cave. Your answer, anecdotally, seems to be put a new roof on it.' McCabe is calling for principal write-down for troubled mortgages, not refinances for borrowers who are current on their monthly payments. The argument so far against principal write-down is that it would cost banks and investors (including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) too much.
Unfortunately the plan, which could allow borrowers with more than 25% in negative equity to refinance, is being deemed too costly as well. While the Congressional Budget Office estimated it would cost investors in the original mortgages between $13
and $15 billion (while potentially saving 111,000 borrowers from defaulting), analysts at JP Morgan Chase say it would cost more: If such a policy were successful on a large scale, it would clearly devalue higher coupons, and would threaten lower coupons
with incremental gross supply. A more modest HARP overhaul, while less disruptive, still forces investors to require more conservative valuations until details emerge.
All these arguments, however, may be moot, as the overseer of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which would have to approve the refinance effort, is sounding wildly cautious. In a statement following the President's speech, Director Ed DeMarco states, 'If there are frictions associated with the origination of HARP loans that can be eased while still achieving the program's intent of assisting borrowers and reducing credit risk for the Enterprises, we will seek to do so.' He goes on to say, however, that there are 'several challenging issues to work through,' and then he uses the word 'uncertain' twice in characterizing any outcome. While DeMarco doesn't detail said 'frictions,' they are vast and not limited to investor cost. First of all, too many borrowers probably still wouldn't qualify if they just did away with the loan to value ratio of 125%. Of the 838,400 HARP refinancings done so far, only 62,432 had LTVs above 105%, according to Jaret Seiberg at MF Global. 'We believe lenders are reluctant to HARP a loan if they fear the borrower is so underwater that they might default anyway,' writes Seiberg. Then there are issues of loan origination dates, put-backs on loans that default and borrower qualifications. Frictions. Beyond the friction, however, is the simple fact that a refinance program, while potentially an economic stimulus, is not a housing stimulus and shouldn't be characterized as such. The HARP program is and always was for current borrowers and does nothing to address the millions of non-current borrowers, bank-owned foreclosed homes and falling home prices."
Unfortunately the plan, which could allow borrowers with more than 25% in negative equity to refinance, is being deemed too costly as well. While the Congressional Budget Office estimated it would cost investors in the original mortgages between $13
and $15 billion (while potentially saving 111,000 borrowers from defaulting), analysts at JP Morgan Chase say it would cost more: If such a policy were successful on a large scale, it would clearly devalue higher coupons, and would threaten lower coupons
with incremental gross supply. A more modest HARP overhaul, while less disruptive, still forces investors to require more conservative valuations until details emerge.
All these arguments, however, may be moot, as the overseer of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which would have to approve the refinance effort, is sounding wildly cautious. In a statement following the President's speech, Director Ed DeMarco states, 'If there are frictions associated with the origination of HARP loans that can be eased while still achieving the program's intent of assisting borrowers and reducing credit risk for the Enterprises, we will seek to do so.' He goes on to say, however, that there are 'several challenging issues to work through,' and then he uses the word 'uncertain' twice in characterizing any outcome. While DeMarco doesn't detail said 'frictions,' they are vast and not limited to investor cost. First of all, too many borrowers probably still wouldn't qualify if they just did away with the loan to value ratio of 125%. Of the 838,400 HARP refinancings done so far, only 62,432 had LTVs above 105%, according to Jaret Seiberg at MF Global. 'We believe lenders are reluctant to HARP a loan if they fear the borrower is so underwater that they might default anyway,' writes Seiberg. Then there are issues of loan origination dates, put-backs on loans that default and borrower qualifications. Frictions. Beyond the friction, however, is the simple fact that a refinance program, while potentially an economic stimulus, is not a housing stimulus and shouldn't be characterized as such. The HARP program is and always was for current borrowers and does nothing to address the millions of non-current borrowers, bank-owned foreclosed homes and falling home prices."
Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Delinquencies Rise, Foreclosures Fall in Latest MBA Mortgage
The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 8.44 percent of all loans outstanding as of the end of the second quarter of 2011, an increase of 12 basis points from the first
quarter of 2011, and a decrease of 141 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) National Delinquency Survey. The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate increased 32 basis points to 8.11 percent this
quarter from 7.79 percent last quarter. The percentage of loans on which foreclosure actions were started during the second quarter was 0.96 percent, down 12 basis points from last quarter and down 15 basis points from one year ago.
The delinquency rate includes loans that are at least one payment past due but does not include loans in the process of foreclosure. The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process at the end of the second quarter was 4.43 percent, down 9 basis
points from the first quarter and 14 basis points lower than one year ago. The serious delinquency rate, the percentage of loans that are 90 days or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, was 7.85 percent, a decrease of 25 basis points from last quarter, and a decrease of 126 basis points from the second quarter of last year. The combined percentage of loans in foreclosure or at least one payment past due was 12.54 percent on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, a 23 basis point increase from last quarter, but was 143 basis points lower than a year ago.
Mortgage delinquencies are no longer improving and are now showing some signs of worsening," said Jay Brinkmann, MBA's Chief Economist. Foreclosure inventory rates also fell, to their lowest level since the third quarter of 2010. While some have
argued that this drop in foreclosures is a temporary drop which does not reflect the problems yet to come, this does not appear to be the case, at least at the national level.
The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 8.44 percent of all loans outstanding as of the end of the second quarter of 2011, an increase of 12 basis points from the first
quarter of 2011, and a decrease of 141 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) National Delinquency Survey. The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate increased 32 basis points to 8.11 percent this
quarter from 7.79 percent last quarter. The percentage of loans on which foreclosure actions were started during the second quarter was 0.96 percent, down 12 basis points from last quarter and down 15 basis points from one year ago.
The delinquency rate includes loans that are at least one payment past due but does not include loans in the process of foreclosure. The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process at the end of the second quarter was 4.43 percent, down 9 basis
points from the first quarter and 14 basis points lower than one year ago. The serious delinquency rate, the percentage of loans that are 90 days or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, was 7.85 percent, a decrease of 25 basis points from last quarter, and a decrease of 126 basis points from the second quarter of last year. The combined percentage of loans in foreclosure or at least one payment past due was 12.54 percent on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, a 23 basis point increase from last quarter, but was 143 basis points lower than a year ago.
Mortgage delinquencies are no longer improving and are now showing some signs of worsening," said Jay Brinkmann, MBA's Chief Economist. Foreclosure inventory rates also fell, to their lowest level since the third quarter of 2010. While some have
argued that this drop in foreclosures is a temporary drop which does not reflect the problems yet to come, this does not appear to be the case, at least at the national level.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Shadow inventory improves but still threatens housing recovery
Despite all those millions of distressed properties out on sale, depressing home prices even further, there is one glimmer of hope according Standard & Poor. According to the report the time it would take for banks to purge all of this so-called "shadow inventory" from the market (through foreclosure sales, mortgage modifications and other measures) shrunk to 47 months during the second quarter, a significant drop from the 52 months it estimated for the first quarter of this year. The report also found that the total dollar value of the loans on these properties -- known as non-agency loans because they are not backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or the Federal Housing Administration -- also fell to $405 billion at the end of June from $433 billion three months earlier. S&P said the decline was helped by stabilizing liquidation rates and by fewer borrowers falling behind on their mortgage payments as the economy slowly recovered during the quarter.
S&P estimates that there are still a total of between 4 million and 5 million homes, including those with agency-backed loans, in shadow inventory, an amount that continues to jeopardize the housing market's recovery. Nevertheless, Fannie and Freddie are looking to rid themselves of a large percentage the shadow inventory they do have -- and quickly. Earlier this month, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), the Treasury Department and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development were seeking suggestions on how to dispose all the repossessed homes now owned by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration in a way that would benefit local communities.
Despite all those millions of distressed properties out on sale, depressing home prices even further, there is one glimmer of hope according Standard & Poor. According to the report the time it would take for banks to purge all of this so-called "shadow inventory" from the market (through foreclosure sales, mortgage modifications and other measures) shrunk to 47 months during the second quarter, a significant drop from the 52 months it estimated for the first quarter of this year. The report also found that the total dollar value of the loans on these properties -- known as non-agency loans because they are not backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or the Federal Housing Administration -- also fell to $405 billion at the end of June from $433 billion three months earlier. S&P said the decline was helped by stabilizing liquidation rates and by fewer borrowers falling behind on their mortgage payments as the economy slowly recovered during the quarter.
S&P estimates that there are still a total of between 4 million and 5 million homes, including those with agency-backed loans, in shadow inventory, an amount that continues to jeopardize the housing market's recovery. Nevertheless, Fannie and Freddie are looking to rid themselves of a large percentage the shadow inventory they do have -- and quickly. Earlier this month, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), the Treasury Department and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development were seeking suggestions on how to dispose all the repossessed homes now owned by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration in a way that would benefit local communities.
Thursday, August 18, 2011
Refinance Applications Increase
Mortgage applications increased 4.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 12, 2011. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 4.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3.6 percent compared with the previous week and was 13.5 percent lower than a year ago. The Refinance Index increased 8.0 percent from the previous week, but was 16.3 percent lower than the same week last year. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 9.1 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 10.1 percent compared with the previous week and was 1.1 percent lower than the same week one year ago.
“Unprecedented volatility in the stock market last week amid additional signs that the economy has slowed led to further drops in mortgage rates, with the 15-year rate teaching a new low for the MBA survey,” said Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s Vice President
of Research and Economics. Fratantoni continued, “The big differences in refinance volumes were likely driven by the decisions of some lenders not to drop rates last week, largely due to the need to manage their pipelines.” The four week moving average for the seasonally adjusted Market Index is up 6.9 percent. The four week moving average is down 2.2 percent for the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index, while this average is up 10.1 percent for the Refinance Index. The adjustable-rate mortgage
(ARM) share of activity decreased to 5.8 percent from 6.1 percent of total applications from the previous week. The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 4.32 percent from 4.37 percent. The 30-year fixed contract rate has decreased for three straight weeks and is at a new low
for this year.
Mortgage applications increased 4.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 12, 2011. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 4.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3.6 percent compared with the previous week and was 13.5 percent lower than a year ago. The Refinance Index increased 8.0 percent from the previous week, but was 16.3 percent lower than the same week last year. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 9.1 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 10.1 percent compared with the previous week and was 1.1 percent lower than the same week one year ago.
“Unprecedented volatility in the stock market last week amid additional signs that the economy has slowed led to further drops in mortgage rates, with the 15-year rate teaching a new low for the MBA survey,” said Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s Vice President
of Research and Economics. Fratantoni continued, “The big differences in refinance volumes were likely driven by the decisions of some lenders not to drop rates last week, largely due to the need to manage their pipelines.” The four week moving average for the seasonally adjusted Market Index is up 6.9 percent. The four week moving average is down 2.2 percent for the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index, while this average is up 10.1 percent for the Refinance Index. The adjustable-rate mortgage
(ARM) share of activity decreased to 5.8 percent from 6.1 percent of total applications from the previous week. The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 4.32 percent from 4.37 percent. The 30-year fixed contract rate has decreased for three straight weeks and is at a new low
for this year.
Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Will you sell your house after 2012?
YOU SELL YOUR HOUSE AFTER 2012? This Is True… Will you ever sell your house after 2012? Call your Democratic Senator’s Office to confirm this hidden fact about the ObamaCare regulation. Did you know that if you sell your house after 2012 you will pay a 3.8% sales tax on it? That’s $3,800 on a $100,000 home, etc. When did this happen? It’s in the health care bill. Just thought you should know. SALES TAX GOES INTO EFFECT 2013 (Part of HC Bill). Why 2013? Could it be to come to light AFTER the 2012 elections? REAL ESTATE SALES TAX So, this is “change you can believe in”? Under the new health care bill all real estate transactions will be subject to a 3.8% Sales Tax. The bulk of these new taxes don’t kick in until 2013
If you sell your $400,000 home, there will be a $15,200 tax. This bill is set to screw the retiring generation who often downsize their homes. Does this stuff make your November and 2012 vote more important? Oh, you weren’t aware this was in the obamacare bill? Guess what, you aren’t alone. There are more than a few members of Congress that aren’t aware of it either http://www.gop.gov/blog/10/04/08/obamacare-flatlines-obamacare-taxes-home I hope you forward this to every single person in your address book. VOTERS NEED TO KNOW.
If you sell your $400,000 home, there will be a $15,200 tax. This bill is set to screw the retiring generation who often downsize their homes. Does this stuff make your November and 2012 vote more important? Oh, you weren’t aware this was in the obamacare bill? Guess what, you aren’t alone. There are more than a few members of Congress that aren’t aware of it either http://www.gop.gov/blog/10/04/08/obamacare-flatlines-obamacare-taxes-home I hope you forward this to every single person in your address book. VOTERS NEED TO KNOW.
Monday, August 15, 2011
BEREL Sunday International Investing Edition: Wells Fargo Turns to Ireland for Loan Portfolios
In a $1.4 billion deal, Wells Fargo has won the Bank of Ireland’s U.S. commercial-real-estate loan portfolio as the Irish bank attempts to deleverage its assets. The portfolio consists of 25 loans sold at close to face value and backed primarily by properties in New York, Boston and Washington[1]. The Bank of Ireland was ordered by Ireland’s financial regulator to deleverage by cutting the lender’s loan portfolio by $43 billion by the end of 2013. Wells Fargo also purchased an additional $1 billion in loans from Allied Irish Banks earlier this year and is now taking aim at a $9.5 billion portfolio of loans in the offing from the Anglo Irish Bank Corporation. The latter includes commercial “trophy properties” in New York City and Chicago.
JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America are also after the Anglo Irish Bank portfolio and have submitted bids on it[2]. Most of the loans are expected to perform through maturity. The sale will also be the first of its kind, since “this is the first foreign bank to sell its entire U.S. loan portfolio, and it will be good test of the market,” said head of global real estate practice at law firm Greenberg Traurig, Robert Ivanhoe.
Do you think it’s a good thing that American lenders are buying back American loans, or should they be doing other things with these billions of dollars?
Tuesday, August 9, 2011
Mortgage markets in the U.S., which remain on government life support, could be rattled by the downgrade of the U.S. credit rating, potentially raising borrowing costs for consumers. Given the "sufficiently perilous" state of the U.S. mortgage market, a downgrade "can do nothing but harm the market," says Karen Shaw Petrou, managing partner of Federal Financial Analytics, a research firm in Washington. "The question is how much?" To be sure, no one knows for certain the impact of the unprecedented downgrade on the mortgage market, even if that market is fundamentally intertwined with the federal government.
One concern is that downgrades may trigger forced selling by mutual funds or foreign investors to comply with investor-specific capital requirements restricting them to assets rated triple-A. But analysts said that most institutional investors' rules for investing in government-backed mortgage debt aren't contingent on ratings. And with investors seeking traditional safe-haven assets such as Treasury and government-backed mortgage securities, "there just doesn't seem to be much else to invest in," says Andrew Davidson, a mortgage-industry consultant in New York. "What would people put
their money in if they sold their agency mortgages? It's hard to see what the trade is."
Mortgage rates are closely tied to yields on the 10-year Treasury note. Rising demand for Treasurys pushed down yields over the past two weeks, even as the threat of a U.S. default from the debt-ceiling debate in Washington dragged on, because investors looked for less risky assets amid concerns over the European debt crisis and the sluggish U.S. economy. Mortgage rates dropped to an eight-month low last week, with 30-year fixed-rate mortgages averaging 4.39% for the week ended Thursday, according to a survey by Freddie Mac. Still, the uncertainty created by the downgrade has nvestors on edge. The interplay of a downgrade, on top of the euro-zone crisis and renewed fears over a double-dip recession in the U.S., could lead to increased volatility in mortgage markets. "There are so many moving parts to this that no one really knows how it will go," says Mr.Simon.
Monday, August 1, 2011
Home ownership at 1998 levels
The U.S. homeownership rate in the second quarter dropped to its lowest level in 13 years, according to the Census Bureau, with analysts expecting even more drops ahead. The homeownership rate fell to 65.9%, down one percentage point from a year ago. It's the lowest level measured since the first quarter of 1998. Analysts at Capital Economics said this means the homeownership rate built during the housing boom has been "completely wiped out" by its bust. "The poor economic climate, the double dip in house prices, the high number of foreclosures and tight credit conditions are all reasons why the homeownership rate will continue to fall," analysts said.
The rate remained highest in the Midwest at 70%, followed by 68.2% in the South, 63% in the Northeast and 60.3% in the West. Since the second quarter of 2007, the homeownership rate in the West has dropped more than four full percentage points.
Homeownership for younger consumers has become even more sparse. According to the Census Bureau, the rate among Americans younger than 35 years old dropped to 37.5% from 39% one year ago. This, analysts said, is a sign credit has tightened for younger consumers. With unemployment elevated for this cohort, as well, the rate could continue to fall in coming quarters. "With another 3 million foreclosures in the pipeline and no sign of a major improvement in credit conditions or the labor market, demand for owner-occupied housing is likely to remain weak for some years yet," Capital Economics analysts said.
The rate remained highest in the Midwest at 70%, followed by 68.2% in the South, 63% in the Northeast and 60.3% in the West. Since the second quarter of 2007, the homeownership rate in the West has dropped more than four full percentage points.
Homeownership for younger consumers has become even more sparse. According to the Census Bureau, the rate among Americans younger than 35 years old dropped to 37.5% from 39% one year ago. This, analysts said, is a sign credit has tightened for younger consumers. With unemployment elevated for this cohort, as well, the rate could continue to fall in coming quarters. "With another 3 million foreclosures in the pipeline and no sign of a major improvement in credit conditions or the labor market, demand for owner-occupied housing is likely to remain weak for some years yet," Capital Economics analysts said.
Tuesday, July 26, 2011
DSNews.com - 49% of homeowners think they own more than they
owe Less than half of homeowners – 49% – currently believe their
home is worth more than the amount they still owe on their
mortgage. July marks the second month in a row but only the
third time since late 2008 that the Rasmussen Reports rate has
fallen below 50%. High-income homeowners were more confident in
their home values that low-income homeowners, and investors were
consistently more confident than owner-occupants. One-third of
homeowners believe they are underwater with their mortgage, and
18% of respondents said they weren’t sure. The rates are the
result of a Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of 676
homeowners. The survey was conducted July 17 and 18, and results
were released Thursday.
Relatively unchanged since last month, 7% of homeowners had
missed or been late on at least one mortgage payment in the last
six months, while 90% had not. Eight% said they were likely to
miss or be late on a payment in the next six months, and 89% did
not foresee difficulty making their payments over the next six
months. Just days before the survey results, on July 19,
Rasmussen released the results of another survey, which examined
homeowners’ confidence that their home values will increase
over the coming year. At 11% confidence, reached an all-time
low, according to the survey.
owe Less than half of homeowners – 49% – currently believe their
home is worth more than the amount they still owe on their
mortgage. July marks the second month in a row but only the
third time since late 2008 that the Rasmussen Reports rate has
fallen below 50%. High-income homeowners were more confident in
their home values that low-income homeowners, and investors were
consistently more confident than owner-occupants. One-third of
homeowners believe they are underwater with their mortgage, and
18% of respondents said they weren’t sure. The rates are the
result of a Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of 676
homeowners. The survey was conducted July 17 and 18, and results
were released Thursday.
Relatively unchanged since last month, 7% of homeowners had
missed or been late on at least one mortgage payment in the last
six months, while 90% had not. Eight% said they were likely to
miss or be late on a payment in the next six months, and 89% did
not foresee difficulty making their payments over the next six
months. Just days before the survey results, on July 19,
Rasmussen released the results of another survey, which examined
homeowners’ confidence that their home values will increase
over the coming year. At 11% confidence, reached an all-time
low, according to the survey.
Friday, July 22, 2011
NAR - existing home sales down
Existing-home sales eased in June as contract cancellations spiked unexpectedly, although prices were up slightly, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Sales gains in the Midwest and South were offset by declines in the Northeast and West. Single-family home sales were stable while the condo sector weakened. Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, declined 0.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.77 million in June from 4.81 million in May, and remain 8.8% below the 5.23 million unit level in June 2010, which was the scheduled closing deadline for the home buyer tax credit. The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $184,300 in June, up 0.8% from June 2010. Distressed homes – foreclosures and short sales generally sold at deep discounts – accounted for 30% of sales in June, compared with 31% in May and 32% in June 2010. According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage was 4.51% in June, down from 4.64% in May; the rate was 4.74% in June 2010.
Total housing inventory at the end of June rose 3.3% to 3.77 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 9.5-month supply at the current sales pace, up from a 9.1-month supply in May. All-cash transactions accounted for 29% of sales in June; they were 30% in May and 24% in June 2010; investors account for the bulk of cash purchases. First-time buyers purchased 31% of homes in June, down from 36% in May; they were 43% in June 2010 when the tax credit was in place. Investors accounted for 19% of purchase activity in June, unchanged from May; they were 13% in June 2010. The balance of sales was to repeat buyers, which were a 50% market share in June, up from 45% in May, which appears to be a normal seasonal gain.
Single-family home sales were unchanged at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.24 million in June, but are 7.4% below a 4.58 million pace in June 2010. The median existing single-family home price was $184,600 in June, up 0.6% from a year ago. Existing condominium and co-op sales fell 7.0% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 530,000 in June from 570,000 in May, and are 18.0% below the 646,000-unit level a year ago. The median existing condo price5 was $182,300 in June, up 1.8% from June 2010.
Total housing inventory at the end of June rose 3.3% to 3.77 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 9.5-month supply at the current sales pace, up from a 9.1-month supply in May. All-cash transactions accounted for 29% of sales in June; they were 30% in May and 24% in June 2010; investors account for the bulk of cash purchases. First-time buyers purchased 31% of homes in June, down from 36% in May; they were 43% in June 2010 when the tax credit was in place. Investors accounted for 19% of purchase activity in June, unchanged from May; they were 13% in June 2010. The balance of sales was to repeat buyers, which were a 50% market share in June, up from 45% in May, which appears to be a normal seasonal gain.
Single-family home sales were unchanged at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.24 million in June, but are 7.4% below a 4.58 million pace in June 2010. The median existing single-family home price was $184,600 in June, up 0.6% from a year ago. Existing condominium and co-op sales fell 7.0% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 530,000 in June from 570,000 in May, and are 18.0% below the 646,000-unit level a year ago. The median existing condo price5 was $182,300 in June, up 1.8% from June 2010.
Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast fell 5.2% to an annual pace of 730,000 in June and are 17.0% below June 2010. The median price in the Northeast was $261,000, up 3.1% from a year ago. Existing-home sales in the Midwest rose 1.0% in June to a pace of 1.04 million but are 14.0% below a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $147,700, down 5.3% from June 2010. In the South, existing-home sales increased 0.5% to an annual level of 1.86 million in June but are 5.6% below June 2010. The median price in the South was $159,100, down 0.1% from a year ago.
Existing-home sales in the West declined 1.7% to an annual pace of 1.14 million in June and are 2.6% below a year ago. The median price in the West was $240,400, up 9.5% from June 2010.
Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Study Reveals Original Foreclosure-Related Documents Often Do Not Exist
If a lender has not been paid in months or years and believes that they can convert a property to a performing investment, then they are going to have a very high interest in foreclosing. However, in many cases, if they had to use real, legitimate, original documents to carry out that process, it simply would never happen. Why? Because the originals simply do not exist[1]. Reuters calls this “one of the overlooked legacies of the housing boom,” and explains in a new report that “in the rush to make new home loans and sell them off as fast as possible…the original lenders…destroyed original documents or never turned them over as required.” As a result, promissory notes and mortgages frequently never made it to the end-buyer – or even just the next guy in line. This means that “many pension funds, insurance companies and hedge funds that invested in [investor] trusts never got formal title to the mortgages they had paid for.” And that means that when it comes time to foreclose, they may have no choice but to use doctored or replicated documents in order to do so. Analysts speculate that the reason that there has not been an audit or an investigation of this issue may be simply that “if the extent of the problem became known, the housing market might worsen.” For example, the country’s largest sub-prime lender (it collapsed in 2007) almost never endorsed promissory notes or assigned mortgages to the trusts that bought its mortgages, meaning that trusts may be out millions of dollars and a millions of homes could end up with clouds on their titles.
Monday, July 18, 2011
Home prices trending up
Home prices and inventory levels are trending upward in many US cities tracked by Altos Research, according to the firm's latest Housing Market Update. The median national home price for all 26 markets covered by Altos hit $450,358 in June, up from $444,273 in May. Meanwhile, in the past three months, listing prices rose 2.31% and inventory levels grew 3.52%. The only city to report a drop in home prices in June was Las Vegas and even that was a mere 0.86% decline when compared to the month before. When analyzing home price data for the past three months, both New York and Las Vegas experienced falling prices, reporting drops of 2.2% and 1.61%, respectively, Altos said.
Inventory rose in 12 of the major markets tracked by Altos last month, while falling in the remaining 14 composite cities. The biggest inventory jump occurred in Boston, with the city's inventory level rising to 5.8%. Phoenix, on the other hand, experienced the largest inventory level drop, falling 7.93%. Even though the 90-day home price trends rose somewhat, Altos said a weekly sample taken from the month of June still shows a "slight flattening" in home prices. Comparatively, the latest S&P/Case Shiller report said the average price of a single- family home rose for the first time in eight months during the month of April. Altos suspects the S&P/Case-Shiller will be reporting a few positive trends through September. At the same time when looking forward, Altos foresees a slowing or plateau of home prices in the fourth quarter.
Inventory rose in 12 of the major markets tracked by Altos last month, while falling in the remaining 14 composite cities. The biggest inventory jump occurred in Boston, with the city's inventory level rising to 5.8%. Phoenix, on the other hand, experienced the largest inventory level drop, falling 7.93%. Even though the 90-day home price trends rose somewhat, Altos said a weekly sample taken from the month of June still shows a "slight flattening" in home prices. Comparatively, the latest S&P/Case Shiller report said the average price of a single- family home rose for the first time in eight months during the month of April. Altos suspects the S&P/Case-Shiller will be reporting a few positive trends through September. At the same time when looking forward, Altos foresees a slowing or plateau of home prices in the fourth quarter.
Sunday, July 17, 2011
MBA - homeownership may drop further
The drop in the homeownership rate from an all-time high of 69.2% in 2004 to 66.4% in the first quarter of 2011 reflects a decline from unsustainable levels to something closer to historicalaverages, according to a study released today by Mortgage Banker's Association's (MBA) Research Institute for Housing America (RIHA). While the homeownership rate may have bottomed out, it could fall another one or two percentage points because of tightened credit and other factors, the paper says. Titled "Homeownership Boom and Bust 2000 to 2009: Where Will the Homeownership Rate Go from Here?," the study was conducted by professors Stuart Gabriel of UCLA's Anderson School and Stuart Rosenthal of Syracuse University. They found that the increase in the homeownership rate in the middle of the last decade extended to all age groups but was most pronounced among individuals under age 30. These increases coincided with looser credit conditions that enhanced household access to mortgage credit, along with less risk-averse attitudes toward investment in homeownership. Following the crash, these trends have reversed and homeownership rates have largely reverted to the levels of 2000.
"How much more might the homeownership rate fall? The answer depends on uncertain forecasts of attitudes towards homeownership and changes in the credit market and economic conditions," concluded Rosenthal. "If underwriting conditions and attitudes about investing in homeownership settle back to year-2000 patterns and, if the socioeconomic and demographic traits of the population look similar to those of 2000, then the homeownership rate may have bottomed out and will not decline further. If, instead, household employment, earnings and other socioeconomic characteristics over the next few years remain similar to those in 2009, then homeownership rates could fall by up to another 1 to 2%age points beyond 2011. Those declines are likely to be greatest in cities and regions in which house prices were most volatile in the last decade."
"How much more might the homeownership rate fall? The answer depends on uncertain forecasts of attitudes towards homeownership and changes in the credit market and economic conditions," concluded Rosenthal. "If underwriting conditions and attitudes about investing in homeownership settle back to year-2000 patterns and, if the socioeconomic and demographic traits of the population look similar to those of 2000, then the homeownership rate may have bottomed out and will not decline further. If, instead, household employment, earnings and other socioeconomic characteristics over the next few years remain similar to those in 2009, then homeownership rates could fall by up to another 1 to 2%age points beyond 2011. Those declines are likely to be greatest in cities and regions in which house prices were most volatile in the last decade."
Friday, July 15, 2011
URGENT!! WE NEED YOUR HELP
The Federal Reserve, which received sweeping new authority under the Obama regulatory reauthorization, wants to effectively eliminate seller-held (a.k.a. purchase money) mortgages. It will do this by enacting a rule for the Dodd-Frank Act prohibiting property sellers from taking back a mortgage unless the buyer essentially can qualify for conventional financing!
Then go to snipurl.com/AbilityToRepayto submit your comment to the Federal Reserve.
What's more, Ma and Pa Homeowner, who create 95% of seller-held mortgages, won't be able to qualify buyers under the same underwriting standards that banks are required to perform, and therefore the cash flow notes won't be created.
If this is enacted it also will remove access to housing for millions of Americans, because seller "financing" is the only way people who can't qualify for conventional loans can buy a house.
Moreover, it would allow a buyer a three year right of rescission (they can cancel the sale) if the seller did not properly qualify them. The right of rescission also applies to anyone who buys the note.
We have precious little time to try to stop this. The deadline to comment is FRIDAY, July 22.
Go to: http://snipurl.com/t2cfqThen go to snipurl.com/AbilityToRepay
Please do it TODAY!!
(Thanks to Ric Thom [ www.SecurityEscrow.com] for alerting us.)
Submit your comments at snipurl.com/AbilityToRepay
Here Are Some Points You Can Make In Your Comments:
- Seller "financing" provides housing for millions who otherwise could not qualify for conventional loans.
- Homeowners are not bank officers or mortgage lenders. By requiring them (many if not most of whom who take back a mortgage are elderly) to qualify buyers using bank standards means they will simply refuse to sell with owner financing. Thus millions of people will be deprived of home ownership.
- Why should the buyer be required to divulge their income and assets to the very person with whom they are negotiating the terms of a sale? This is not required when there is a 3rd party lender.
- Requiring the buyer to turn over all their financial information to a stranger opens the door for identification theft and fraud.
- This also creates the opportunity for predatory borrowing. This is where an unscrupulous buyer knowledgeable about the Dodd-Frank Act leads an uninformed seller (and this will be the majority of sellers) into negotiations not in compliance with the ability-to-repay requirements. (An example of that could be a balloon, an interest rate greater than 1.49% above a standard mortgage, or the seller did not know how to calculate the income-to-debt ratio correctly, or know what residual income means). That buyer lives in the property trying to resell it for a profit and if they are not successful within three years they rescind the sale and get all their money back.
- By not allowing them to negotiate a balloon payment, there is a good chance that a seller 55 years or older will die before receiving all their equity. A lot of seniors have invested in real property with the intent of selling it using seller financing (an installment sale) in order to supplement their income in retirement, but also with the hope that they would not be stuck with a 30 year investment. The Dodd-Frank Act does the same thing insurance companies do who sell 30 year annuities to seniors. Our government has criticized this deplorable practice because seniors will die before they receive all their investment.
- The restriction of no balloon doesn't affect just seniors, it has financial consequences for anyone using seller financing. Under the Dodd-Frank Act community banks are allowed to originate fully amortizing loans with a five year balloon. The rationale is that they hold these loans in their own portfolios and the government recognizes their need to hedge against inflation and rising interest rates. Yet, the Act does not recognize that private property owners who have 100% skin in the game need the same protection. A five year balloon is predatory lending. If there has to be a restriction it should at the very least be the same allowance given to community banks of a balloon in 5 years.
- There are a lot of small builders that have a spec house or two that they can't sell unless they offer great terms using seller financing. Otherwise they have to let these properties go back to the bank, which does not help housing or the economy.
- It has been said that a seller financing the sale of his or her own property would completely avoid the issue of licensing by retaining the services of a licensed loan originator. If a mortgage loan originator (MLO) fails to properly follow the ability-to-repay guidelines the buyer still has three years in which to rescind the sale which leaves the seller at risk and will most likely bankrupt them.
Go to http://snipurl.com/t2cfq
Then submit your comments at snipurl.com/AbilityToRepay-- scroll down that page for the comments link.
THE DEADLINE IS FRIDAY, JULY 22!
Tuesday, July 12, 2011
household shifts could affect recovery
"Every now and then you need to take a step back and put the housing market into perspective, take a break from all the monthly motions and commotions, stress and distress. Today I read a report that did just that. It takes a big-picture snapshot of how housing has fundamentally changed over the past several decades, which could have a big impact on its future as the industry rebuilds itself, literally and economically.
The report, from John Burns Real Estate Consulting's Chris Porter, is titled simply, Tremendous Demographic Shift.' And the numbers are pretty tremendous. 'The number of non-family households—people living alone or households that do not have any members related to the householder—has increased nearly five times in the last 50 years, from 7.9 million to 39.2 million. At the same time, the number of family households has increased by just 1.7 times, from 45.1 million to 77.5 million,' according to Porter. In addition, married couples have dropped to less than half of all US households from 75% in 1960. So let's think about the current housing stock, much of which is more than 50 years old. We've recently seen a downsizing trend for several reasons, namely the weak economy and builders constructing cheaper homes to meet the demand but also the environmental movement and the high cost of energy.
But this comes right after the 'McMansion' era when oversized homes were all the rage. Those homes, of course, still exist in vast quantities, despite the fact that there are, according to this report, fewer big family households and therefore less need for large square footage. We've also talked a lot about the surge in renting; we've blamed it on the housing crash, fear of buying into a depreciating market and the tight credit conditions that are pricing many potential buyers out.
Perhaps there's more to it than that as well. Perhaps with fewer large family households and less desire for a big space, smaller, full-service rental apartments are more desirable to a growing segment of the population. 'Family households are more likely to stretch for size over location. Non-family households are more likely to value location—proximity to work, entertainment, etc.—and then size. They are less willing to commute than a family household,' noted Porter. We also have to look at the growing population of Americans who intend to 'age in place,' that is, the baby boomers who are moving out of the big family homes but not into what we used to call 'retirement homes.' Now they're 'active adult communities,' with smaller one-story homes. That demographic, though, plays against a growing demographic of Hispanic Americans. The average Hispanic household is statistically larger than the national average.
So what should home builders and housing watchers take from all this?
Obviously there are and always will be large families in the suburbs who want to live in big houses. There will always be wealthy Americans who desire to live in spaces that far exceed their needs. But the shift in household size cannot simply be considered anecdotal. When you couple that shift with a much-changed mortgage market, one that prices so many more Americans out of larger, move-up homes, you have to be concerned about what happens to the stock of larger homes, old and new. Do we see huge price reductions as demand falters?
Wednesday, July 6, 2011
Wells Fargo modification outnumber Obama's 5 to 1
Wells Fargo completed or started trials on roughly 585,000 mortgage modifications through its private programs since the beginning of 2009, more than five times the 101,000 initiated through the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). HAMP launched in March 2009 but almost immediately drew criticism. Treasury officials admit the more than 3 million modifications initially promised was over estimated. Through May, servicers started roughly 731,000 permanent loan modifications and have been averaging between 25,000 and 30,000 per month this year. According to a recent poll of housing counselors, only 9% of borrowers who entered the program described it as a "positive" experience. Homeowners continually blame servicers for mishandling documentation. Overwhelmed servicers point out many borrowers are simply out of reach. "Avoiding foreclosure is a top priority for us and when customers work with us, we can help seven of every 10 to stay out of foreclosure," said Teri Schrettenbrunner, senior vice president, Wells Fargo Home Mortgage.
The Treasury points out most of the private programs built since the foreclosure crisis use HAMP as a model. But since mishandled foreclosure and modification processes came to light late last year, new standards were put in place, including a single point of contact that servicers are required to provide throughout the loss-mitigation process. The Treasury began to clamp down on poorly performing servicers — at least to the extent their contracts with these firms allow. In June, the Treasury announced it was withholding HAMP payments from Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Wells. Schrettenbrunner said the bank continues to build on its primary contact model it established last summer, and the bank has met with 58,000 borrowers at 31 home preservation workshops. Half of those received a decision on the spot or shortly after the event. Schrettenbrunner said the department continues to "aggressively reach out" to borrowers behind on payments to bridge the communication gap as quickly as possible. "We also continue to aggressively reach out to customers 60 or more days behind on their home loans via mail and telephone in an effort to engage them," Schrettenbrunner said.
Wells Fargo completed or started trials on roughly 585,000 mortgage modifications through its private programs since the beginning of 2009, more than five times the 101,000 initiated through the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). HAMP launched in March 2009 but almost immediately drew criticism. Treasury officials admit the more than 3 million modifications initially promised was over estimated. Through May, servicers started roughly 731,000 permanent loan modifications and have been averaging between 25,000 and 30,000 per month this year. According to a recent poll of housing counselors, only 9% of borrowers who entered the program described it as a "positive" experience. Homeowners continually blame servicers for mishandling documentation. Overwhelmed servicers point out many borrowers are simply out of reach. "Avoiding foreclosure is a top priority for us and when customers work with us, we can help seven of every 10 to stay out of foreclosure," said Teri Schrettenbrunner, senior vice president, Wells Fargo Home Mortgage.
The Treasury points out most of the private programs built since the foreclosure crisis use HAMP as a model. But since mishandled foreclosure and modification processes came to light late last year, new standards were put in place, including a single point of contact that servicers are required to provide throughout the loss-mitigation process. The Treasury began to clamp down on poorly performing servicers — at least to the extent their contracts with these firms allow. In June, the Treasury announced it was withholding HAMP payments from Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Wells. Schrettenbrunner said the bank continues to build on its primary contact model it established last summer, and the bank has met with 58,000 borrowers at 31 home preservation workshops. Half of those received a decision on the spot or shortly after the event. Schrettenbrunner said the department continues to "aggressively reach out" to borrowers behind on payments to bridge the communication gap as quickly as possible. "We also continue to aggressively reach out to customers 60 or more days behind on their home loans via mail and telephone in an effort to engage them," Schrettenbrunner said.
Wednesday, June 29, 2011
Home prices up
According to the S&P/Case Shiller 20-city index, prices rose 0.7% in April compared with March, although they fell 0.1% when adjusted for the strong spring selling season. Prices were down 4% year-over-year. "In a welcome shift from recent months, this month is better than last -- April's numbers beat March," said David Blitzer, S&P's spokesman, in a statement. "However, the seasonally adjusted numbers show that much of the improvement reflects the beginning of the spring-summer home buying season. It is much too early to tell if this is a turning point or simply due to some warmer weather," Blitzer added. Any hint of good news in the troubled housing market will likely bring cheer to the industry, and there are some signs that market conditions are not quite as dire as some of the statistics may indicate.
Much of the price drop over the past year can be blamed on severe price slashing for homes in foreclosure, as Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke pointed out in a press conference last Wednesday. Prices for homes sold by regular sellers have held up much better. Metropolitan Washington continued to be the strongest of the 20 cities covered by the report. Prices rose 3% in April there and have been on the plus side year-over-year, up 4%. The worst performing market for the month was Detroit, where prices fell 2.9%. The biggest year-over-year drop was recorded by Minneapolis, where prices have plunged 11.1% since last April.
According to the S&P/Case Shiller 20-city index, prices rose 0.7% in April compared with March, although they fell 0.1% when adjusted for the strong spring selling season. Prices were down 4% year-over-year. "In a welcome shift from recent months, this month is better than last -- April's numbers beat March," said David Blitzer, S&P's spokesman, in a statement. "However, the seasonally adjusted numbers show that much of the improvement reflects the beginning of the spring-summer home buying season. It is much too early to tell if this is a turning point or simply due to some warmer weather," Blitzer added. Any hint of good news in the troubled housing market will likely bring cheer to the industry, and there are some signs that market conditions are not quite as dire as some of the statistics may indicate.
Much of the price drop over the past year can be blamed on severe price slashing for homes in foreclosure, as Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke pointed out in a press conference last Wednesday. Prices for homes sold by regular sellers have held up much better. Metropolitan Washington continued to be the strongest of the 20 cities covered by the report. Prices rose 3% in April there and have been on the plus side year-over-year, up 4%. The worst performing market for the month was Detroit, where prices fell 2.9%. The biggest year-over-year drop was recorded by Minneapolis, where prices have plunged 11.1% since last April.
Saturday, June 25, 2011
WSJ - mortgage rates flat
Mortgage rates changed little for a second straight week, according to the latest survey from Freddie Mac. Mortgage rates generally track Treasury yields, which move inversely to Treasury prices. Rates have slumped for months as yields on Treasury’s slid amid economic uncertainty. Freddie Mac Chief Economist Frank Nothaft pointed to more signs of a softening US housing market, including the Federal Reserve's policy-committee statement on Wednesday, which acknowledged continued weakness in the sector. "Although new construction on single-family homes ticked up in May from April, it was still below the overall pace set in 2010," Mr. Nothaft said. "Moreover, existing home sales fell 3.8% in May to the fewest since November 2010."
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was at 4.5% in the week ended Thursday, the same rate as in the previous week, though the rate was below last year's 4.69% average. The 30-year rate has fallen steadily since reaching the 2011 high of 5.05% in early February. Rates on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages edged up to 3.69% from 3.67% the previous week but were down from 3.13% a year earlier. Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages decreased to 3.25%, down from 3.27% last week and 3.84% a year earlier. One-year Treasury-indexed ARM rates ticked up to 2.99% from 2.97% the prior week, but still well below the prior year's 3.77% rate. To obtain the rates, 30-year and 15-year fixed-rate borrowers required an average payment of 0.8 point and 0.7 point, respectively. Five-year hybrid adjustable rate mortgages required a 0.6-point payment, while one-year adjustable-rate mortgages required a 0.5-point payment. A point is 1% of the mortgage amount, charged as prepaid interest.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was at 4.5% in the week ended Thursday, the same rate as in the previous week, though the rate was below last year's 4.69% average. The 30-year rate has fallen steadily since reaching the 2011 high of 5.05% in early February. Rates on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages edged up to 3.69% from 3.67% the previous week but were down from 3.13% a year earlier. Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages decreased to 3.25%, down from 3.27% last week and 3.84% a year earlier. One-year Treasury-indexed ARM rates ticked up to 2.99% from 2.97% the prior week, but still well below the prior year's 3.77% rate. To obtain the rates, 30-year and 15-year fixed-rate borrowers required an average payment of 0.8 point and 0.7 point, respectively. Five-year hybrid adjustable rate mortgages required a 0.6-point payment, while one-year adjustable-rate mortgages required a 0.5-point payment. A point is 1% of the mortgage amount, charged as prepaid interest.
Thursday, June 23, 2011
don't let the numbers fool you
"Let me preface with an apology for the huge supply of numbers in this post, but if you can make it through them all, I think you will get the picture I'm drawing here. The so-called 'shadow inventory' of residential properties is falling, according to a new report from CoreLogic. This is the number of homes with seriously delinquent loans (90+ days), loans in the foreclosure process and bank-owned homes which are not yet listed for sale. The supply as of April 2011 declined to 1.7 million units, representing a five months' supply. This is down from 1.9 million units, also a five months' supply, from a year ago. 'The decline was due to fewer new delinquencies and the high level of distressed sales, which helped reduce the number of outstanding distressed loans,' according to the report.
Good news, no? Wait. There's more: 'In addition to the current shadow inventory, there are 2 million current negative equity loans that are more than 50% or $150,000 'upside down.' These current but underwater loans have increased risk of entering the shadow inventory if the owners' ability to pay is impaired while significantly underwater.' And then there's this other report from Lender Processing Services (LPS), which also reports a drop in newly delinquent loans, but gives the actual, mind-numbing numbers of loans in trouble:
- Number of properties that are 30+ days past due, but not in foreclosure: (A) 4,187,000
- Number of properties that are 90+ days delinquent, but not in foreclosure: 1,921,000
- Number of properties in foreclosure pre-sale inventory: (B) 2,164,000
- Number of properties that are 30+ days delinquent or in foreclosure: (A+B) 6,350,000
There are more than six million properties in distress, a third of those in foreclosure. According to yesterday's monthly home sales report from the National Association of Realtors, less than five million homes will sell this year, at the current sales pace. There are currently 3.72 million existing homes for sale, representing a 9.3 months supply; that does not include newly built homes nor does it include that six million number. This vast supply varies from state to state of course, but the overall effect is downward pressure on home prices nationally. I was interested to see a survey released today by Robert Shiller's MacroMarkets group (of the Case Shiller Home Price Indices). Every month he asks a group of 108 economists, real estate experts and investment strategists for their home price predictions. June's survey found the group's overall expectations have reached the lowest level since the survey started over a year ago, but, 'It is apparent that a significant majority of our panelists believe that the bottom for home prices arrived in the first quarter or will arrive sometime before year-end,' writes Shiller.
But wait, there's more: The group of 69 panelists who are currently forecasting a 2011 turning point predict less than two% average annual growth in nominal home prices over the five-year
period ending December 2015. Shiller added, 'If it were to materialize, such a scenario might be better described as a forecast of price stability rather than a rebound. A 2%-a-year home price increase will not inspire a lot of consumer confidence. Given prevailing inflation expectations, this
forecast implies virtually no change in real home values going forward.' So I'm faced with a national picture of over 6 million homes with distressed loans, a 9 month supply of existing homes, a smattering of new construction and no home price growth for at least the next four years. Should I buy?"
Good news, no? Wait. There's more: 'In addition to the current shadow inventory, there are 2 million current negative equity loans that are more than 50% or $150,000 'upside down.' These current but underwater loans have increased risk of entering the shadow inventory if the owners' ability to pay is impaired while significantly underwater.' And then there's this other report from Lender Processing Services (LPS), which also reports a drop in newly delinquent loans, but gives the actual, mind-numbing numbers of loans in trouble:
- Number of properties that are 30+ days past due, but not in foreclosure: (A) 4,187,000
- Number of properties that are 90+ days delinquent, but not in foreclosure: 1,921,000
- Number of properties in foreclosure pre-sale inventory: (B) 2,164,000
- Number of properties that are 30+ days delinquent or in foreclosure: (A+B) 6,350,000
There are more than six million properties in distress, a third of those in foreclosure. According to yesterday's monthly home sales report from the National Association of Realtors, less than five million homes will sell this year, at the current sales pace. There are currently 3.72 million existing homes for sale, representing a 9.3 months supply; that does not include newly built homes nor does it include that six million number. This vast supply varies from state to state of course, but the overall effect is downward pressure on home prices nationally. I was interested to see a survey released today by Robert Shiller's MacroMarkets group (of the Case Shiller Home Price Indices). Every month he asks a group of 108 economists, real estate experts and investment strategists for their home price predictions. June's survey found the group's overall expectations have reached the lowest level since the survey started over a year ago, but, 'It is apparent that a significant majority of our panelists believe that the bottom for home prices arrived in the first quarter or will arrive sometime before year-end,' writes Shiller.
But wait, there's more: The group of 69 panelists who are currently forecasting a 2011 turning point predict less than two% average annual growth in nominal home prices over the five-year
period ending December 2015. Shiller added, 'If it were to materialize, such a scenario might be better described as a forecast of price stability rather than a rebound. A 2%-a-year home price increase will not inspire a lot of consumer confidence. Given prevailing inflation expectations, this
forecast implies virtually no change in real home values going forward.' So I'm faced with a national picture of over 6 million homes with distressed loans, a 9 month supply of existing homes, a smattering of new construction and no home price growth for at least the next four years. Should I buy?"
Tuesday, June 21, 2011
Lenders make short sales even more attractive
CitiMortgage, the mortgage servicing arm of Citigroup is paying borrowers an average $12,000 after completing a short sale this year. Justin Rand, the senior vice president of loss mitigation at the bank, said servicers are putting more of an emphasis on streamlining the process and pursuing a short sale ahead of foreclosure. The short sale process in 2009 took an average 120 days from listing to close. But by reaching out to borrowers instead of waiting for them to ask the bank, short sales now take an average 83 days to complete, Rand said at a panel for the REO Expo Conference in Fort Worth, Texas, earlier this week. "For Citi-held portfolio loans today, we have a little over 16% of delinquent loans in a short sale program," Rand said, adding that increased from roughly 4% two years ago.
Not only are the timelines shrinking to complete these deals, but the incentives paid to qualifying borrowers – again only on loans owned by Citi – increased in recent years as well. In early 2009, Citi offered an average $1,500 to qualifying borrowers. That went up to between $3,000 and $5,000 in 2010 and finally up to an average $12,000 so far in 2011, Rand said. "Incentives will be offered to customers experiencing financial hardship who need funds to proceed with the short sale," a Citi spokesman said. "The amount, which is agreed upon up front, varies according to the borrower's individual circumstances and loan characteristics. It is disbursed to the homeowner when the sale is completed."
The key to a successful short sale, just like modifications, is the timely collection of financial documents. Regulators helped move the process along with guideline changes to programs like the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives initiative, which lessened the amount of documents required. "It took us about 30 days to collect documentation in 2009 to now less than 10 days," Rand said. "A lot of the time, for seriously delinquent loans, all we need is just a letter of authorization from the homeowner." David Sunlin, the operations executive for short sales at Bank of America (BOA) was on the same panel as Rand. He said the entire industry is becoming more proactive. BOA completed more short sales than REO every month for the last year and a half. The short sale department at BOA grew from 150 people to now over 3,000. Each employee handles roughly 75 cases. "We're past the point where we're bumbling around losing files," Sunlin said.
Rand said the big shift began in 2009 as the Treasury Department was putting together plans for the HAFA, which would launch in April 2010. "In 2009, we started a proactive approach, reaching through MLS services and reaching out to real estate agents and customers with underwater mortgages, distressed loans," Rand said. "We're not going to turn anybody away if the short sale meets the net requirement we're looking for."
Not only are the timelines shrinking to complete these deals, but the incentives paid to qualifying borrowers – again only on loans owned by Citi – increased in recent years as well. In early 2009, Citi offered an average $1,500 to qualifying borrowers. That went up to between $3,000 and $5,000 in 2010 and finally up to an average $12,000 so far in 2011, Rand said. "Incentives will be offered to customers experiencing financial hardship who need funds to proceed with the short sale," a Citi spokesman said. "The amount, which is agreed upon up front, varies according to the borrower's individual circumstances and loan characteristics. It is disbursed to the homeowner when the sale is completed."
The key to a successful short sale, just like modifications, is the timely collection of financial documents. Regulators helped move the process along with guideline changes to programs like the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives initiative, which lessened the amount of documents required. "It took us about 30 days to collect documentation in 2009 to now less than 10 days," Rand said. "A lot of the time, for seriously delinquent loans, all we need is just a letter of authorization from the homeowner." David Sunlin, the operations executive for short sales at Bank of America (BOA) was on the same panel as Rand. He said the entire industry is becoming more proactive. BOA completed more short sales than REO every month for the last year and a half. The short sale department at BOA grew from 150 people to now over 3,000. Each employee handles roughly 75 cases. "We're past the point where we're bumbling around losing files," Sunlin said.
Rand said the big shift began in 2009 as the Treasury Department was putting together plans for the HAFA, which would launch in April 2010. "In 2009, we started a proactive approach, reaching through MLS services and reaching out to real estate agents and customers with underwater mortgages, distressed loans," Rand said. "We're not going to turn anybody away if the short sale meets the net requirement we're looking for."
Monday, June 20, 2011
hard to make a call on housing
[Friday's] report on consumer confidence, or the striking lack of it, is yet another sign that housing is going to be in a very sticky state for a while. It's hard to say whether housing is weighing on confidence or lack of confidence is weighing on housing; the answer lies somewhere in the middle. Next week is a big week for housing because we get the all-important readings on existing and new home sales for May. The pending home sales index, based on contracts signed, not closings, fell dramatically in April, and that has the housing prognosticators building another arc for the flood of bad news yet to come. Home builder sentiment fell in June, largely based on competition from distressed properties and high material costs, but you can bet the builders know we're in for some tough sales numbers in their market as well.
I know I've said this before, but here I go again: All real estate is local, but confidence is national. Potential summer buyers, who are historically few and far between, will be watching the national numbers, as they try to time the bottom of the market, which is of course impossible to do. You can't time the bottom of this market, because it will likely bounce along the bottom for several years. You also have no historical perspective because we've never seen a crash like this ever before. The two greatest factors that will keep us bouncing are the huge volume of distressed properties and uncertainty over the direction of new regulation in the mortgage market.
Regulators pushed back the deadline for a huge decision on risk retention for the mortgage market, and that has talk abounding that the entire proposal is going back to the drawing board. This is the proposal that would require, among many other things, a 20% down payment on loans for them to be exempt from risk retention. Without that, banks would have to hold 5% risk on their books when securitizing the loan.
All this uncertainty in the mortgage market, piled on top of all kinds of new regulations now going into action, just makes lending more expensive for the banks and borrowing more expensive for consumers. It's no surprise that confidence in housing is so low, despite the fact that now may in fact be one of the best times to get into the housing market. You just have to have a long view, which foreign buyers apparently have but Americans sorely lack.
I know I've said this before, but here I go again: All real estate is local, but confidence is national. Potential summer buyers, who are historically few and far between, will be watching the national numbers, as they try to time the bottom of the market, which is of course impossible to do. You can't time the bottom of this market, because it will likely bounce along the bottom for several years. You also have no historical perspective because we've never seen a crash like this ever before. The two greatest factors that will keep us bouncing are the huge volume of distressed properties and uncertainty over the direction of new regulation in the mortgage market.
Regulators pushed back the deadline for a huge decision on risk retention for the mortgage market, and that has talk abounding that the entire proposal is going back to the drawing board. This is the proposal that would require, among many other things, a 20% down payment on loans for them to be exempt from risk retention. Without that, banks would have to hold 5% risk on their books when securitizing the loan.
All this uncertainty in the mortgage market, piled on top of all kinds of new regulations now going into action, just makes lending more expensive for the banks and borrowing more expensive for consumers. It's no surprise that confidence in housing is so low, despite the fact that now may in fact be one of the best times to get into the housing market. You just have to have a long view, which foreign buyers apparently have but Americans sorely lack.
Friday, June 17, 2011
foreigners jump into real estate market
"Falling home prices may be plaguing the US economy, but they are candy to foreign investors, who already have a weak dollar on their side. Buyers from overseas spent roughly $41 billion on US residential real estate last year, a bump up from the previous year. US real estate agents report a surge this Spring especially, as foreign buyers see continued pressure on home prices and ample bargains. 'I don’t think they’re so concerned about the prices dropping as they are about getting value for their money,' says Rick Ambrose, a Coldwell Banker agent in Lake Mohawk, NJ. Ambrose and his colleague Mary Pat Spekhardt recently hosted two groups of Japanese investors searching for homes on the scenic lake just about an hour outside of New York City. 'They can work here, be close to the city, be close to their corporations and still feel like they’re on vacation. I think that’s really what grabbed everybody.
That’s what got them,' says Spekhardt. The group of about 35 from Japan also toured properties in Las Vegas and Los Angeles, which are more popular choices among foreign investors.
A new survey by Trulia.com that tracks searches from potential foreign buyers found LA ranked number one in potential interest traffic, trailed by New York City, Cape Coral, Fl, Fort Lauderdale, FL and Las Vegas. The greatest interest is from buyers in the UK, Canada and Australia. 'Prices now in the US are generally 30-40% off from the peak. In addition, the weakness of the dollar gives the Japanese an advantage, as it does the Europeans, of another 20-25% off, so they’re seeing real bargains and opportunities,' notes Ambrose. The interest is pretty widespread, with Brazilians trolling Miami and Russians and Chinese hunting in Chicago, according to Trulia's survey.
What's so interesting to me, though, is that foreigners are so much more ready to jump into the market now than US investors. Granted, they have, as noted, the weak dollar on their side, but they also seem to have a longer term view. US buyers are so afraid to lose a little in the short term on paper, they don't realize they could gain a lot in the long term. Of course foreign buyers are largely using cash, which many US buyers are lacking. Credit, or lack thereof, is playing against the US investor. Prices in Miami are actually beginning to recover, especially in the condo market, thanks to foreign buyers, so much so that the foreigners are beating out the Americans.
I remember all the rage a long time ago when the Japanese were buying up commercial real estate in New York City. Everyone was so appalled. Not so much now, even up in Lake Mohawk, NJ...'It isn’t popular. It is unforeseen territory, and it’s unique. I think it’s a very smart choice. It’s not where everyone is looking,' says Spekhardt."
That’s what got them,' says Spekhardt. The group of about 35 from Japan also toured properties in Las Vegas and Los Angeles, which are more popular choices among foreign investors.
A new survey by Trulia.com that tracks searches from potential foreign buyers found LA ranked number one in potential interest traffic, trailed by New York City, Cape Coral, Fl, Fort Lauderdale, FL and Las Vegas. The greatest interest is from buyers in the UK, Canada and Australia. 'Prices now in the US are generally 30-40% off from the peak. In addition, the weakness of the dollar gives the Japanese an advantage, as it does the Europeans, of another 20-25% off, so they’re seeing real bargains and opportunities,' notes Ambrose. The interest is pretty widespread, with Brazilians trolling Miami and Russians and Chinese hunting in Chicago, according to Trulia's survey.
What's so interesting to me, though, is that foreigners are so much more ready to jump into the market now than US investors. Granted, they have, as noted, the weak dollar on their side, but they also seem to have a longer term view. US buyers are so afraid to lose a little in the short term on paper, they don't realize they could gain a lot in the long term. Of course foreign buyers are largely using cash, which many US buyers are lacking. Credit, or lack thereof, is playing against the US investor. Prices in Miami are actually beginning to recover, especially in the condo market, thanks to foreign buyers, so much so that the foreigners are beating out the Americans.
I remember all the rage a long time ago when the Japanese were buying up commercial real estate in New York City. Everyone was so appalled. Not so much now, even up in Lake Mohawk, NJ...'It isn’t popular. It is unforeseen territory, and it’s unique. I think it’s a very smart choice. It’s not where everyone is looking,' says Spekhardt."
Wednesday, June 15, 2011
US economy "bumbling along"
The US economy is just "bumbling along" and creating an uncertainty among business that is likely to stifle hiring and growth, says investor Wilbur Ross, fund manager and head of W.L. Ross & Co. Ross blamed Washington policies for much of the
problems, from the lack of a housing recovery to the recent controversy in which the Obama administration is trying to block Boeing from building a plant in a right-to-work state. "It's not going to be a 'W' or a 'V' or an 'L' (recovery) or another
alphabet letter," said Ross. "It's going continue to be punctuation—dots, dashes, question marks, exclamation points,one strong month, one weak month—a very fragile economy."
That lack of direction could stand in the way of businesses that want to expand. "This kind of thing is bad because it's unsettling to companies," he said. "Business has a terrible time adjusting to uncertainty. Good news they can adjust to, bad news
they can adjust to. Uncertainty makes it very, very hard to make long-term commitments." Businesses also are facing weak consumer spending. Unemployment remains mired at 9.1 percent while housing prices recently have double dipped despite aggressive efforts in Washington to stem the crisis. "The consumer still hasn't been
rehabilitated," Ross said. "All the meddling in the real estate side of life has not fixed residential real estate. If anything I think it's made it worse because it's extending out the foreclosure time lines and putting more uncertainty and more
downward pressure."
Ross also wondered about the state of job creation considering the battle the National Labor Relations Board has waged against Boeing. The agency contends that Boeing broke the law when it moved a plant to South Carolina, where workers are not required
to belong to a union. Boeing contends that even though it has a unionized work force it also can build plants in right-to-work states. Some in Congress have called on cutting funding to the NLRB on ground that the agency has overstepped its authority.
For Ross, the issue comes down to the kind of message the administration is sending at a time when job creation is at a premium. "Who in American business is going to have confidence to build a new factory, add employees, if you're not even sure
you can build the factory where you want to?" he said. "You can't have social experimenting interfering with turning the economy around. And I think that's what's going on here. It's social experimenting instead of building the economy."
problems, from the lack of a housing recovery to the recent controversy in which the Obama administration is trying to block Boeing from building a plant in a right-to-work state. "It's not going to be a 'W' or a 'V' or an 'L' (recovery) or another
alphabet letter," said Ross. "It's going continue to be punctuation—dots, dashes, question marks, exclamation points,one strong month, one weak month—a very fragile economy."
That lack of direction could stand in the way of businesses that want to expand. "This kind of thing is bad because it's unsettling to companies," he said. "Business has a terrible time adjusting to uncertainty. Good news they can adjust to, bad news
they can adjust to. Uncertainty makes it very, very hard to make long-term commitments." Businesses also are facing weak consumer spending. Unemployment remains mired at 9.1 percent while housing prices recently have double dipped despite aggressive efforts in Washington to stem the crisis. "The consumer still hasn't been
rehabilitated," Ross said. "All the meddling in the real estate side of life has not fixed residential real estate. If anything I think it's made it worse because it's extending out the foreclosure time lines and putting more uncertainty and more
downward pressure."
Ross also wondered about the state of job creation considering the battle the National Labor Relations Board has waged against Boeing. The agency contends that Boeing broke the law when it moved a plant to South Carolina, where workers are not required
to belong to a union. Boeing contends that even though it has a unionized work force it also can build plants in right-to-work states. Some in Congress have called on cutting funding to the NLRB on ground that the agency has overstepped its authority.
For Ross, the issue comes down to the kind of message the administration is sending at a time when job creation is at a premium. "Who in American business is going to have confidence to build a new factory, add employees, if you're not even sure
you can build the factory where you want to?" he said. "You can't have social experimenting interfering with turning the economy around. And I think that's what's going on here. It's social experimenting instead of building the economy."
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)